MWA

Mueller Water Products, Inc.

67
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MWA's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 17x earnings, below its usual 27x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MWA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MWA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MWA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$24.01—
Current17x$24.01—
Cheap20x$28.07+17%
Fair27x$38.09+59%
Expensive31x$43.62+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MWA's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

MWA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MWA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$29.60
Downside-14%$20.70

Calculated from the latest close: $24.01 on Nov 12.

MWA's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −14%.

MWA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.55Q4 2023: $0.50Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.95Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.27Q1 2026: $1.32Q2 2026: $1.42Forward: $1.57
Q3 2023: $0.55Q4 2023: $0.50Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.95Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.27Q1 2026: $1.32Q2 2026: $1.42Forward: $1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.57+11%
Q2 2026$1.42+49%
Q1 2026$1.32+43%
Q4 2025$1.27+46%
Q3 2025$1.22+65%
Q2 2025$0.95+22%
Q1 2025$0.92+44%
Q4 2024$0.87+74%
Q3 2024$0.74+35%

MWA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.42 over the past year, up 49% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

MWA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: $256MQ1 2024: $353MQ2 2024: $357MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $364MQ2 2025: $380MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $396M
Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: $256MQ1 2024: $353MQ2 2024: $357MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $364MQ2 2025: $380MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $396M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$395.9M+4.1%
Q1 2026$384.4M+5.5%
Q4 2025$318.2M+4.6%
Q3 2025$380.8M+9.4%
Q2 2025$380.3M+6.6%
Q1 2025$364.3M+3.1%
Q4 2024$304.3M+19%
Q3 2024$348.2M+16%

MWA's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $396M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MWA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $41MQ4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $41MQ4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$94.1M+69%
Q1 2026-$27.5M-639%
Q4 2025$44M+4.3%
Q3 2025$69M-1.3%
Q2 2025$55.7M-26%
Q1 2025$5.1M+$20.9M
Q4 2024$42.2M-32%
Q3 2024$69.9M+69%

MWA generated $180M in free cash flow over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before.

MWA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 157MQ4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 157MQ2 2024: 157MQ3 2024: 157MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157M
Q3 2023: 157MQ4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 157MQ2 2024: 157MQ3 2024: 157MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-100K shares
1 year-0.1%-100K shares
3 years+0.1%+100K shares
5 years-1.3%-2M shares
Available history-1.1%-1.7M shares

MWA has 157M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MWA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

MWA has more cash than debt.

MWA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic39.0Neutral

MWA's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

MWA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMWASector medianRelative
PE17x24x29% below
PE %85850 pts below

MWA is trading at 17x earnings, a 29% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

MWA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.56.8% above
20 week MA$23.80.7% above
50 week MA$25.66.4% below
100 week MA$25.35% below
200 week MA$20.815% above

MWA's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

MWA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$12.1+2.1%
2021$12.1$14.1+16%
2022$14.1$10.8-24%
2023$10.8$14.4+34%
2024$14.4$22.6+57%
2025$22.6$24.8+9.7%
2026 YTD$24.8$24.0-3.1%

MWA has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 3.1% so far in 2026.

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