MVST
Microvast Holdings, Inc.
MVST has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over MVST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MVST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
MVST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently weak.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MVST PE Valuation
MVST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MVST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MVST's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over MVST on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MVST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.07 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.22 | +$0.30 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.23 | +$0.38 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.52 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.49 | +$0.07 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.48 | -$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | -$0.27 |
MVST has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
MVST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $45.8M | -63% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.3M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $60.6M | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $96.4M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $123.3M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.3M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $116.5M | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $113.4M | +8.4% |
MVST's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $46M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -146% | -156 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2% | -20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | -29 points |
| Q4 2025 | -43% | -41 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +136 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +45 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3% | +20 points |
MVST's operating margin was −146% last quarter, down 156 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2021.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over MVST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW has the edge over MVST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MVST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.5M | -3023% |
| Q2 2026 | -$21.8M | -164% |
| Q1 2026 | -$25.7M | -632% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.8M | +175% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M | +$20.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $34.3M | +$37.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8M | +$13M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7M | +$43.9M |
MVST has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
MVST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +35.6M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +60.8M shares |
| 3 years | +23% | +71.4M shares |
| 5 years | +1294% | +357M shares |
| Available history | +4751% | +377M shares |
MVST has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MVST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
MVST's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MVST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 27.3 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 17.0 | Oversold |
MVST's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MVST PE vs Industrials Sector
MVST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MVST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.55 | 58% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.71 | 68% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.58 | 85% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.27 | 90% below |
| 200 week MA | $1.67 | 86% below |
MVST is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 86% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
MVST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.93 | $18.2 | +84% |
| 2021 | $18.2 | $6.29 | -66% |
| 2022 | $6.29 | $1.56 | -75% |
| 2023 | $1.56 | $1.40 | -10% |
| 2024 | $1.40 | $2.45 | +75% |
| 2025 | $2.45 | $2.91 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.91 | $0.23 | -92% |
MVST has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 92% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over MVST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.