MVIS

MicroVision, Inc.

53
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

MVIS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MVIS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MVIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

MVIS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MVIS PE Valuation

MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MVIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect MVIS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MVIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+101%$2.19
Downside-50%$0.55

Calculated from the latest close: $1.09 on Nov 12.

MVIS trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MVIS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MVIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.75Q1 2024: $-7.05Q2 2024: $-6.90Q3 2024: $-6.15Q4 2024: $-6.90Q1 2025: $-6.75Q2 2025: $-6.00Q3 2025: $-5.70Q4 2025: $-5.25Q1 2026: $-4.65Q2 2026: $-5.41Q3 2026: $-5.11
Q4 2023: $-6.75Q1 2024: $-7.05Q2 2024: $-6.90Q3 2024: $-6.15Q4 2024: $-6.90Q1 2025: $-6.75Q2 2025: $-6.00Q3 2025: $-5.70Q4 2025: $-5.25Q1 2026: $-4.65Q2 2026: $-5.41Q3 2026: $-5.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$5.11+$0.59
Q2 2026-$5.41+$0.59
Q1 2026-$4.65+$2.10
Q4 2025-$5.25+$1.65
Q3 2025-$5.70+$0.45
Q2 2025-$6.00+$0.90
Q1 2025-$6.75+$0.30
Q4 2024-$6.90-$0.15

MVIS is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $5.11 per share over the past year, against $7.05 at its worst in early 2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MVIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $956,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $190,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $589,000Q2 2025: $155,000Q3 2025: $241,000Q4 2025: $223,000Q1 2026: $935,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $956,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $190,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $589,000Q2 2025: $155,000Q3 2025: $241,000Q4 2025: $223,000Q1 2026: $935,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4M+896%
Q2 2026$1.5M+850%
Q1 2026$935K+59%
Q4 2025$223K-86%
Q3 2025$241K+27%
Q2 2025$155K-92%
Q1 2025$589K-38%
Q4 2024$1.7M-68%

MVIS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, up 896% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MVIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$14MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$14MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15M+$1.6M
Q2 2026-$19.5M-$6.5M
Q1 2026-$16.6M-$2.4M
Q4 2025-$15.6M-$490K
Q3 2025-$16.6M-$2.5M
Q2 2025-$12.9M+$5.9M
Q1 2025-$14.2M+$6.7M
Q4 2024-$15.2M+$1.4M

MVIS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$67M over the past year, against −$59M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MVIS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+5.1M shares
1 year+39%+7.7M shares
3 years+118%+14.8M shares
5 years+223%+18.9M shares

MVIS has 27M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MVIS Net Leverage

MVIS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MVIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.2Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

MVIS's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MVIS PE vs Technology Sector

MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MVIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.2714% below
20 week MA$2.3954% below
50 week MA$7.1585% below
100 week MA$12.891% below
200 week MA$22.495% below

MVIS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MVIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.1$98.3+785%
2021$98.3$88.7-9.8%
2022$88.7$34.1-62%
2023$34.1$39.9+17%
2024$39.9$22.7-43%
2025$22.7$13.7-40%
2026 YTD$13.7$1.09-92%

MVIS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +785% in 2020 to −62% in 2022. It's down 92% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over MVIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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