MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over TTD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

59
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation92/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TTD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TTD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TTD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

TTD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE298x596x894x1192x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE298x596x894x1192x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$15.47—
Forward43x$15.47—
Cheap59x$40.54+162%
Fair171x$118+661%
Expensive276x$190+1130%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TTD has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

MU has the edge over TTD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

TTD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TTD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TTD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TTD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$20.16
Downside-37%$9.78

Calculated from the latest close: $15.47 on Nov 12.

TTD trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over TTD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36-47%
Q3 2026$0.69-21%
Q2 2026$0.84+1.2%
Q1 2026$0.88+7.3%
Q4 2025$0.90+15%
Q3 2025$0.87+43%
Q2 2025$0.83+66%
Q1 2025$0.82+105%
Q4 2024$0.78+117%

TTD earned $0.69 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over TTD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $606MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $585MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $616MQ2 2025: $694MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $689MQ2 2026: $715MQ3 2026: $736M
Q4 2023: $606MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $585MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $616MQ2 2025: $694MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $689MQ2 2026: $715MQ3 2026: $736M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$736M-0.5%
Q2 2026$715.1M+3%
Q1 2026$688.9M+12%
Q4 2025$846.8M+14%
Q3 2025$739.4M+18%
Q2 2025$694M+19%
Q1 2025$616M+25%
Q4 2024$741M+22%

TTD's revenue is growing: $736M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over TTD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $178MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $157M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $178MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $157M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$157.5M-0.5%
Q2 2026$140.4M+17%
Q1 2026$279.1M+20%
Q4 2025$285.3M+59%
Q3 2025$158.4M-30%
Q2 2025$119.8M+103%
Q1 2025$232.3M+30%
Q4 2024$179.2M+172%

TTD generated $862M in free cash flow over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

TTD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 500MQ1 2024: 498MQ2 2024: 500MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 503MQ2 2025: 496MQ3 2025: 493MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 477MQ2 2026: 470MQ3 2026: 470M
Q4 2023: 500MQ1 2024: 498MQ2 2024: 500MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 503MQ2 2025: 496MQ3 2025: 493MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 477MQ2 2026: 470MQ3 2026: 470M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+249K shares
1 year-4.6%-22.8M shares
3 years-6.3%-31.7M shares
5 years-5.8%-28.7M shares
Available history-1.6%-7.9M shares

TTD has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

TTD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.7xNet Cash

TTD has the edge over MU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

TTD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

TTD's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over TTD on valuation relative to its sector.

TTD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTTDSector medianRelative
PE22x28x20% below
PE %73528 pts below

TTD is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over TTD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TTD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.821% above
20 week MA$14.65.8% above
50 week MA$22.130% below
100 week MA$45.866% below
200 week MA$64.576% below

TTD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 76% below its 200-week average.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over TTD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TTD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.2$93.2+242%
2021$93.2$96.1+3.1%
2022$96.1$44.9-53%
2023$44.9$72.0+60%
2024$72.0$121.4+69%
2025$121.4$38.3-68%
2026 YTD$38.3$15.5-60%

TTD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +242% in 2020 to −68% in 2025. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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