MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over SMTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SMTC

Semtech Corporation

72
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

SMTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SMTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SMTC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU has the edge over SMTC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SMTC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x68x102x136x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x68x102x136x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$119—
Cheap23x$34.23-71%
Fair65x$96.99-19%
Current80x$119—
Expensive104x$155+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMTC's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

SMTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SMTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+100%$238.45
Downside-25%$89.50

Calculated from the latest close: $119.44 on Nov 12.

SMTC trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over SMTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.83Q1 2024: $-17.03Q2 2024: $-16.93Q3 2024: $-13.57Q4 2024: $-13.07Q1 2025: $-2.26Q2 2025: $-1.68Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $1.49Forward: $6.04
Q4 2023: $-7.83Q1 2024: $-17.03Q2 2024: $-16.93Q3 2024: $-13.57Q4 2024: $-13.07Q1 2025: $-2.26Q2 2025: $-1.68Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $1.49Forward: $6.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.04+306%
Q3 2026$1.49+140%
Q2 2026-$0.41+$1.27
Q1 2026-$0.46+$1.80
Q4 2025$0.69+$13.76
Q3 2025$0.62+$14.19
Q2 2025-$1.68+$15.25
Q1 2025-$2.26+$14.77
Q4 2024-$13.07-$5.24

SMTC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.49 over the past year, against $2.46 in mid-2022.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over SMTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+33%
Q2 2026$291M+16%
Q1 2026$274.4M+9.3%
Q4 2025$267M+13%
Q3 2025$257.6M+20%
Q2 2025$251.1M+22%
Q1 2025$251M+30%
Q4 2024$236.8M+18%

SMTC's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU generated $59B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

SMTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.4M+48%
Q2 2026$28M+7%
Q1 2026$59.1M+91%
Q4 2025$44.6M+53%
Q3 2025$41.5M+$49.9M
Q2 2025$26.2M+$27.6M
Q1 2025$30.9M+153%
Q4 2024$29.1M+$41.5M

SMTC has the edge over MU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has the edge over SMTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 101M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+2.8M shares
1 year+16%+14.1M shares
3 years+58%+36.8M shares
5 years+54%+35.3M shares
Available history+50%+33.5M shares

SMTC has 101M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

SMTC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.7xNet Cash

SMTC has more cash than debt.

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SMTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

SMTC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over SMTC on valuation relative to its sector.

SMTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMTCSector medianRelative
PE80x28x188% above
PE %653530 pts above

SMTC is trading at 80x earnings, a 188% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

SMTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.919% below
20 week MA$142.916% below
50 week MA$118.01.2% above
100 week MA$84.741% above
200 week MA$57.2109% above

SMTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 109% above its 200-week average.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over SMTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.1$71.7+38%
2021$71.7$86.9+21%
2022$86.9$27.5-68%
2023$27.5$21.9-20%
2024$21.9$63.3+189%
2025$63.3$76.1+20%
2026 YTD$76.1$119.4+57%

SMTC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +189% in 2024 to −68% in 2022. It's up 57% so far in 2026.

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