MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over SMSI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SMSI

Smith Micro Software, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

SMSI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SMSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

SMSI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

SMSI PE Valuation

SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

SMSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SMSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$3.60
Downside-33%$1.61

Calculated from the latest close: $2.40 on Nov 12.

SMSI trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 879% for MU versus SMSI down 109%.

SMSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2024: $-27.20Q2 2024: $-26.90Q3 2024: $-26.40Q4 2025: $-7.30Q1 2026: $-6.65Q2 2026: $-3.27Q3 2026: $-2.32
Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2024: $-27.20Q2 2024: $-26.90Q3 2024: $-26.40Q4 2025: $-7.30Q1 2026: $-6.65Q2 2026: $-3.27Q3 2026: $-2.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$26.40-$9.20
Q2 2024-$26.90-$8.90
Q1 2024-$27.20-$6.80
Q4 2023-$15.20+$6.00
Q3 2023-$17.20+$2.00
Q2 2023-$18.00+$10.80
Q1 2023-$20.40+$6.40
Q4 2022-$21.20+$3.20

SMSI is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.32 per share over the past year, against $28.80 at its worst in mid-2022.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over SMSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5M+15%
Q2 2026$4.3M-1.8%
Q1 2026$4.2M-8.7%
Q4 2025$4M-20%
Q3 2025$4.3M-6.5%
Q2 2025$4.4M-14%
Q1 2025$4.6M-20%
Q4 2024$5M-42%

SMSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $5M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over SMSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SMSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$606,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$943,000Q3 2026: −$192,000
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$606,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$943,000Q3 2026: −$192,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$192K+$2M
Q2 2026-$943K+$1.4M
Q1 2026-$3.8M-$3.2M
Q4 2025-$2.2M+$2.7M
Q3 2025-$2.2M+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$2.3M+$1.9M
Q1 2025-$606K+$743K
Q4 2024-$4.9M-$3.9M

SMSI has burned cash in most quarters: −$7M over the past year, against −$10M the year before.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has the edge over SMSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.2%+376K shares
1 year+44%+1.7M shares
3 years+263%+4M shares
5 years+415%+4.5M shares
Available history+435%+4.5M shares

SMSI has 6M diluted shares, up 44% from a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

SMSI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2021-23.7xNet Cash
Q4 2020-3.6xNet Cash
Q3 2020-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2020-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2019-2.5xNet Cash

SMSI has more cash than debt.

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SMSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic10.8Oversold

SMSI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU is trading at 11x earnings, a 61% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SMSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMSISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over SMSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.452% below
20 week MA$2.638.7% below
50 week MA$3.0421% below
100 week MA$3.8137% below
200 week MA$18.687% below

SMSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 87% below its 200-week average.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over SMSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$213.6+38%
2021$213.6$201.6-5.6%
2022$201.6$82.4-59%
2023$82.4$33.1-60%
2024$33.1$7.25-78%
2025$7.25$2.85-61%
2026 YTD$2.85$2.40-16%

SMSI has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.

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