MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over PRGS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PRGS

Progress Software Corporation

70
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

PRGS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PRGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

PRGS's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

PRGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x61x81x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x61x81x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.7x$43.44—
Current20x$43.44—
Cheap25x$53.38+23%
Fair31x$66.66+53%
Expensive38x$81.69+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRGS has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

MU has the edge over PRGS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PRGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRGS, but weaker profitability.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRGS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PRGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$57.92
Downside-20%$34.96

Calculated from the latest close: $43.44 on Nov 12.

PRGS trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over PRGS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.55Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.88Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.06Q3 2026: $2.17Forward: $6.46
Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.55Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.88Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.06Q3 2026: $2.17Forward: $6.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.46+198%
Q3 2026$2.17+101%
Q2 2026$2.06+60%
Q1 2026$1.95+54%
Q4 2025$1.66+7.8%
Q3 2025$1.08-43%
Q2 2025$1.29-22%
Q1 2025$1.27-18%
Q4 2024$1.54-1.9%

PRGS earned $2.17 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over PRGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $238MQ2 2025: $237MQ3 2025: $250MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $238MQ2 2025: $237MQ3 2025: $250MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$246M-1.5%
Q2 2026$253.5M+6.8%
Q1 2026$247.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$252.7M+18%
Q3 2025$249.8M+40%
Q2 2025$237.4M+36%
Q1 2025$238M+29%
Q4 2024$215M+21%

PRGS's revenue is growing: $246M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over PRGS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.3M+19%
Q2 2026$77M+161%
Q1 2026$95.9M+42%
Q4 2025$59.9M+257%
Q3 2025$72.4M+28%
Q2 2025$29.5M-53%
Q1 2025$67.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$16.8M-45%

PRGS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $319M over the past year, up 71% from the year before.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

PRGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-832K shares
1 year-5.1%-2.2M shares
3 years-7.8%-3.5M shares
5 years-6.8%-3M shares
Available history-8.5%-3.9M shares

PRGS has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over PRGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 5.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 5.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20255.9xHigh
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

PRGS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PRGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

PRGS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over PRGS on valuation relative to its sector.

PRGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPRGSSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %83527 pts below

PRGS is trading at 20x earnings, a 28% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

PRGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.93.7% above
20 week MA$41.54.7% above
50 week MA$37.815% above
100 week MA$45.54.5% below
200 week MA$51.115% below

PRGS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over PRGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PRGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.7$44.2+6%
2021$44.2$48.3+9.3%
2022$48.3$50.5+4.4%
2023$50.5$54.3+7.6%
2024$54.3$65.5+21%
2025$65.5$43.5-34%
2026 YTD$43.5$43.4-0.2%

PRGS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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