MTZ

MasTec, Inc.

66
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MTZ has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MTZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

MTZ's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MTZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE301x602x903x1204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE301x602x903x1204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$91.45-51%
Forward16x$185—
Current30x$185—
Fair32x$195+5.1%
Expensive68x$416+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTZ's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MTZ, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over MTZ on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MTZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$310.45
Downside-16%$155.87

Calculated from the latest close: $185.10 on Nov 12.

MTZ has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails MTZ on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MTZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.64Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.21Q4 2025: $5.07Q1 2026: $5.71Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $6.12Forward: $11.54
Q4 2023: $-0.64Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.21Q4 2025: $5.07Q1 2026: $5.71Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $6.12Forward: $11.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.54+89%
Q3 2026$6.12+45%
Q2 2026$6.27+86%
Q1 2026$5.71+110%
Q4 2025$5.07+146%
Q3 2025$4.21+269%
Q2 2025$3.38+2973%
Q1 2025$2.72+$2.84
Q4 2024$2.06+$2.70

MTZ has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MTZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $5.2B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $5.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2B+30%
Q2 2026$4.4B+23%
Q1 2026$3.8B+34%
Q4 2025$3.9B+16%
Q3 2025$4B+22%
Q2 2025$3.5B+20%
Q1 2025$2.8B+6%
Q4 2024$3.4B+3.8%

MTZ's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $5.2B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $455MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $423MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$70MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $455MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $423MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$70MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$180.1M+789%
Q2 2026-$70.1M-$11.9M
Q1 2026$2.1M-93%
Q4 2025$292.5M-31%
Q3 2025$20.3M-91%
Q2 2025-$58.2M-125%
Q1 2025$31.1M-62%
Q4 2024$423.4M-7%

MTZ has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MTZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 80M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 80M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+950K shares
1 year+1.5%+1.2M shares
3 years+1.7%+1.4M shares
5 years+7.9%+5.8M shares
Available history+5.2%+4M shares

MTZ has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MTZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.0xModerate
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

MTZ's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MTZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.5Neutral
Stochastic17.1Oversold

MTZ's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MTZ PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMTZSector medianRelative
PE30x24x26% above
PE %49589 pts below

MTZ is trading at 30x earnings, a 26% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$193.64.4% below
20 week MA$249.726% below
50 week MA$286.135% below
100 week MA$224.317% below
200 week MA$160.415% above

MTZ has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MTZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.8$69.9+9.6%
2021$69.9$91.3+31%
2022$91.3$85.0-6.9%
2023$85.0$75.7-11%
2024$75.7$135.7+79%
2025$135.7$224.4+65%
2026 YTD$224.4$185.1-18%

MTZ has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over MTZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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