MTUS

Metallus Inc.

51
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MTUS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 32x earnings, about twice its usual 15x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

MTUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

MTUS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

MTUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x250x375x501x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x250x375x501x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$3.62-79%
Fair15x$8.22-53%
Forward16x$17.38—
Current32x$17.38—
Expensive111x$61.28+253%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTUS's PE is in its expensive range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MTUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MTUS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$23.55
Downside-21%$13.80

Calculated from the latest close: $17.38 on Nov 12.

MTUS's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +36% against −21%.

MTUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.46Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.07Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $1.08
Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.46Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.07Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08+95%
Q3 2026$0.55+$0.70
Q2 2026$0.19+$0.66
Q1 2026$0.07+$0.53
Q4 2025-$0.03-200%
Q3 2025-$0.15-128%
Q2 2025-$0.47-140%
Q1 2025-$0.46-127%
Q4 2024$0.03-98%

MTUS has returned to profit: it earned $0.55 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MTUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $322MQ2 2024: $295MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $341MQ3 2026: $337M
Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $322MQ2 2024: $295MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $341MQ3 2026: $337M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$337.2M+10%
Q2 2026$341M+12%
Q1 2026$308.3M+9.9%
Q4 2025$267.3M+11%
Q3 2025$305.9M+35%
Q2 2025$304.6M+3.4%
Q1 2025$280.5M-13%
Q4 2024$240.5M-27%

MTUS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $337M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$66MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$66MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.3M+$100K
Q2 2026-$2.4M-114%
Q1 2026-$51.6M+$14.8M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$35.9M
Q3 2025-$6.4M+$26.5M
Q2 2025$17M+$22.8M
Q1 2025-$66.4M-515%
Q4 2024-$1.3M-102%

MTUS has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$98M over the past year, against −$57M the year before.

MTUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+100K shares
3 years-10%-4.8M shares
5 years-20%-10.8M shares
Available history-3.8%-1.7M shares

MTUS has 43M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MTUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -5.5xQ2 2025: -5.4xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -5.5xQ2 2025: -5.4xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash

MTUS has more cash than debt.

MTUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

MTUS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

MTUS PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricMTUSSector medianRelative
PE32x19x70% above
PE %784038 pts above

MTUS is trading at 32x earnings, a 70% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

MTUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.410% below
20 week MA$19.612% below
50 week MA$18.98% below
100 week MA$17.02.5% above
200 week MA$18.34.8% below

MTUS's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.8% below its 200-week average.

MTUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.44$4.82-35%
2021$4.82$16.2+237%
2022$16.2$18.4+13%
2023$18.4$23.5+28%
2024$23.5$14.1-40%
2025$14.1$17.8+26%
2026 YTD$17.8$17.4-2.3%

MTUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 2.3% so far in 2026.

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