MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

80
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MTSI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over MTSI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MTSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MTSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MTSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$65.74-73%
Current57x$246—
Fair81x$349+42%
Expensive128x$552+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTSI's PE is in its fair range at 57x.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over MTSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MTSI to show an outlook.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

MTSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$467.48
Downside-15%$208.41

Calculated from the latest close: $245.76 on Nov 12.

MTSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLTR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR trails MTSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MTSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.31+$5.04
Q2 2026$3.19+$4.19
Q1 2026$2.39+$3.60
Q4 2025$2.21+$3.64
Q3 2025-$0.73-170%
Q2 2025-$1.00-202%
Q1 2025-$1.21-238%
Q4 2024-$1.43-238%

MTSI has returned to profit: it earned $4.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$424.8M+63%
Q2 2026$342.2M+36%
Q1 2026$289M+22%
Q4 2025$271.6M+25%
Q3 2025$261.2M+30%
Q2 2025$252.1M+32%
Q1 2025$235.9M+30%
Q4 2024$218.1M+39%

MTSI's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $425M last quarter, up 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MTSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138M+179%
Q2 2026$59.2M+15%
Q1 2026$65.5M+114%
Q4 2025$30M-51%
Q3 2025$49.4M-14%
Q2 2025$51.6M+24%
Q1 2025$30.5M+134%
Q4 2024$61.3M+116%

MTSI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $293M over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-674K shares
1 year+5.1%+3.7M shares
3 years+8.7%+6.2M shares
5 years+10%+7.3M shares
Available history+17%+11.5M shares

MTSI has 78M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MTSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MTSI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

MTSI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

MTSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMTSISector medianRelative
PE57x28x105% above
PE %42357 pts above

MTSI has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MTSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$265.97.6% below
20 week MA$276.111% below
50 week MA$268.08.3% below
100 week MA$198.424% above
200 week MA$143.272% above

MTSI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 72% above its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over MTSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$54.6+99%
2021$54.6$77.5+42%
2022$77.5$63.3-18%
2023$63.3$93.0+47%
2024$93.0$133.5+44%
2025$133.5$175.0+31%
2026 YTD$175.0$245.8+40%

MTSI has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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