MTRX

Matrix Service Company

57
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

MTRX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over MTRX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MTRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

MTRX's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MTRX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$9.26—
Cheap18x$4.65-50%
Fair19x$4.84-48%
Expensive22x$5.74-38%
Current36x$9.26—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTRX's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTRX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over MTRX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MTRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$12.34
Downside-25%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $9.26 on Nov 12.

MTRX trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MTRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.76Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.76Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67+156%
Q3 2026$0.26+$1.12
Q2 2026-$0.09+$0.97
Q1 2026-$0.54+$0.27
Q4 2025-$0.69+$0.53
Q3 2025-$0.86+$0.26
Q2 2025-$1.06-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.81-$0.05
Q4 2024-$1.22-$0.52

MTRX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MTRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $245MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $245MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$219.4M+3.5%
Q2 2026$244.5M+13%
Q1 2026$206.7M+3.3%
Q4 2025$210.5M+12%
Q3 2025$211.9M+28%
Q2 2025$216.4M+14%
Q1 2025$200.2M+21%
Q4 2024$187.2M+6.9%

MTRX's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $219M last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: −$28MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$38M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: −$28MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37.7M-$9.8M
Q2 2026-$10.2M-127%
Q1 2026$33.2M+16%
Q4 2025$6.3M-81%
Q3 2025-$27.9M-380%
Q2 2025$38.4M-16%
Q1 2025$28.7M+43%
Q4 2024$32.7M+12%

MTRX has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MTRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+200K shares
1 year+1.7%+487K shares
3 years+5.1%+1.4M shares
5 years+7.1%+1.9M shares
Available history+5.8%+1.6M shares

MTRX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MTRX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -21.9x
Q3 2026: -21.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-21.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-10.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-3.7xNet Cash

MTRX has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MTRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

MTRX's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MTRX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMTRXSector medianRelative
PE36x24x48% above

MTRX is trading at 36x earnings, a 48% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.825.7% below
20 week MA$10.814% below
50 week MA$11.721% below
100 week MA$12.425% below
200 week MA$10.915% below

MTRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MTRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.4$11.7-48%
2021$11.7$7.14-39%
2022$7.14$6.16-14%
2023$6.16$9.78+59%
2024$9.78$11.9+22%
2025$11.9$11.8-1.6%
2026 YTD$11.8$9.26-21%

MTRX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over MTRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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