MT

ArcelorMittal S.A.

46
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

MT's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 27x earnings, about three times its usual 9.4x.

MT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

MT's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.3x$5.50-91%
Fair7.6x$17.83-72%
Expensive22x$52.05-19%
Current27x$64.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MT's PE is in its expensive range at 27x.

MT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MT to show an outlook.

MT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$75.89
Downside-33%$43.03

Calculated from the latest close: $64.29 on Nov 12.

MT's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −33% against +18%.

MT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.87Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.89Q2 2024: $-0.68Q3 2024: $-1.41Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $3.23Q3 2025: $3.35Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $3.80Q2 2026: $2.36
Q3 2023: $4.87Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.89Q2 2024: $-0.68Q3 2024: $-1.41Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $3.23Q3 2025: $3.35Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $3.80Q2 2026: $2.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.36-27%
Q1 2026$3.80+148%
Q4 2025$4.09+148%
Q3 2025$3.35+$4.76
Q2 2025$3.23+$3.91
Q1 2025$1.53+72%
Q4 2024$1.65+65%
Q3 2024-$1.41-129%

MT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.36 over the past year, against $16.59 in mid-2022.

MT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $16.6BQ4 2023: $14.6BQ1 2024: $16.3BQ2 2024: $16.2BQ3 2024: $15.2BQ4 2024: $14.7BQ1 2025: $14.8BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $15.7BQ4 2025: $15BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $16.8B
Q3 2023: $16.6BQ4 2023: $14.6BQ1 2024: $16.3BQ2 2024: $16.2BQ3 2024: $15.2BQ4 2024: $14.7BQ1 2025: $14.8BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $15.7BQ4 2025: $15BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $16.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$16.8B+5.2%
Q1 2026$15.5B+4.5%
Q4 2025$15B+1.7%
Q3 2025$15.7B+3%
Q2 2025$15.9B-2%
Q1 2025$14.8B-9.1%
Q4 2024$14.7B+1.1%
Q3 2024$15.2B-8.5%

MT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $16.8B last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $116MQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$1.2BQ3 2024: $360MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$797MQ3 2025: −$486MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$1.4B
Q3 2023: $116MQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$1.2BQ3 2024: $360MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$797MQ3 2025: −$486MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$1.4B-$625.1M
Q1 2026-$1.3B+$41M
Q4 2025$1.3B-25%
Q3 2025-$486M-235%
Q2 2025-$797.3M+$448.7M
Q1 2025-$1.3B+$15M
Q4 2024$1.7B-15%
Q3 2024$360M+210%

MT's free cash flow was −$1.9B over the past year, against −$66M the year before.

MT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 841MQ4 2023: 819MQ1 2024: 811MQ2 2024: 804MQ3 2024: 781MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 771MQ3 2025: 764MQ4 2025: 764MQ1 2026: 764MQ2 2026: 764M
Q3 2023: 841MQ4 2023: 819MQ1 2024: 811MQ2 2024: 804MQ3 2024: 781MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 771MQ3 2025: 764MQ4 2025: 764MQ1 2026: 764MQ2 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.9%-7M shares
3 years-10%-89M shares
5 years-34%-393M shares
Available history-25%-248M shares

MT has 764M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

MT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20240.8xVery low
Q3 20242.5xModerate

MT's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

MT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic14.2Oversold

MT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MT PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricMTSector medianRelative
PE27x19x46% above
PE %954055 pts above

MT is trading at 27x earnings, a 46% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

MT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.41.5% above
20 week MA$68.05.4% below
50 week MA$61.25.1% above
100 week MA$46.339% above
200 week MA$36.278% above

MT's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 78% above its 200-week average.

MT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.4$23.2+33%
2021$23.2$32.1+39%
2022$32.1$26.7-17%
2023$26.7$28.4+6.5%
2024$28.4$23.1-18%
2025$23.1$46.3+100%
2026 YTD$46.3$64.3+39%

MT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 39% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key