MSTR

Strategy Inc

There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.

STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

77
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

STX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 29x earnings, above its usual 17x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MSTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

STX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSTR PE Valuation

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$188-65%
Forward12x$545—
Fair17x$318-42%
Current29x$545—
Expensive43x$823+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSTR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.

MSTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $114.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSTR and STX's risk to reward.

STX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+175%$1,497.22
Downside-14%$470.41

Calculated from the latest close: $545.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSTR and STX's risk to reward.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$57.71-374%
Q2 2026-$94.04-960%
Q1 2026-$36.99-$14.75
Q4 2025-$15.23-$9.17
Q3 2025$21.07+$23.35
Q2 2025$10.93+$12.50
Q1 2025-$22.24-$21.39
Q4 2024-$6.06-330%

MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

STX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.99+147%
Q3 2026$19.06+145%
Q2 2026$13.90+105%
Q1 2026$10.54+51%
Q4 2025$8.84+60%
Q3 2025$7.79+101%
Q2 2025$6.77+328%
Q1 2025$6.96+$8.26
Q4 2024$5.51+$9.02

STX has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.4M-2.5%
Q2 2026$122.4M+6.9%
Q1 2026$124.3M+12%
Q4 2025$123M+1.9%
Q3 2025$128.7M+11%
Q2 2025$114.5M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111.1M-3.6%
Q4 2024$120.7M-3%

MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+61%
Q2 2026$3.6B+48%
Q1 2026$3.1B+44%
Q4 2025$2.8B+22%
Q3 2025$2.6B+21%
Q2 2025$2.4B+30%
Q1 2025$2.2B+31%
Q4 2024$2.3B+50%

STX has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$5.9M+$31.1M
Q1 2026$13M+$18.2M
Q4 2025-$22.2M-$4.6M
Q3 2025-$11.1M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$37M-$13M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-119%
Q4 2024-$17.6M-2204%

MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.

STX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+246%
Q2 2026$1.1B+163%
Q1 2026$953M+341%
Q4 2025$607M+305%
Q3 2025$427M+1481%
Q2 2025$425M+12%
Q1 2025$216M+69%
Q4 2024$150M+52%

STX has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+75.5M shares
1 year+36%+113M shares
3 years+201%+286M shares
5 years+328%+328M shares
Available history+314%+325M shares

MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.

STX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+3M shares
1 year+2.7%+6M shares
3 years+12%+24M shares
5 years+0.4%+1M shares
Available history-12%-33M shares

STX has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSTR Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2020-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2020-11.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-17.1xNet Cash
Q4 2019-29.1xNet Cash

MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

STX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

MSTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

STX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSTRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTXSector medianRelative
PE29x28x2.7% above
PE %753540 pts above

STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.219% below
20 week MA$123.67.4% below
50 week MA$138.117% below
100 week MA$235.952% below
200 week MA$168.232% below

MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$683.620% below
20 week MA$785.031% below
50 week MA$630.714% below
100 week MA$387.341% above
200 week MA$234.4133% above

STX has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$32.3+123%
2021$32.3$59.7+85%
2022$59.7$16.3-73%
2023$16.3$63.2+288%
2024$63.2$330.0+422%
2025$330.0$158.8-52%
2026 YTD$158.8$114.4-28%

MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

STX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$63.0+5.7%
2021$63.0$111.4+77%
2022$111.4$50.5-55%
2023$50.5$85.4+69%
2024$85.4$87.4+2.4%
2025$87.4$286.2+228%
2026 YTD$286.2$545.1+90%

STX has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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