MSTR
Strategy Inc
There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 5.7x earnings, about a third of its usual 19x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
MSTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
MSTR PE Valuation
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI's PE is in its cheap range at 5.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.3x next year's earnings.
MSTR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$57.71 | -374% |
| Q2 2026 | -$94.04 | -960% |
| Q1 2026 | -$36.99 | -$14.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.23 | -$9.17 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.07 | +$23.35 |
| Q2 2025 | $10.93 | +$12.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.24 | -$21.39 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.06 | -330% |
MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MSTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.4M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $123M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $128.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.5M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.1M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.7M | -3% |
MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16671% | +13648 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6808% | -19064 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11642% | -6310 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14185% | -13343 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3023% | +3396 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12256% | +12436 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5331% | -5155 points |
| Q4 2024 | -842% | -808 points |
MSTR has the edge over SMCI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI's operating margin was 10% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | +$15.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +$18.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.2M | -$4.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$37M | -$13M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.1M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.6M | -2204% |
MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI has the edge over MSTR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +75.5M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +113M shares |
| 3 years | +201% | +286M shares |
| 5 years | +328% | +328M shares |
| Available history | +314% | +325M shares |
MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $744,000 |
| Q3 2020 | $60.6M |
| Q2 2020 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2020 | $50.7M |
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
MSTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -17.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -29.1x | Net Cash |
MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has more cash than debt.
MSTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
MSTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI is trading at 5.7x earnings, a 80% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.2 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.6 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $138.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $235.9 | 52% below |
| 200 week MA | $168.2 | 32% below |
MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
MSTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $32.3 | +123% |
| 2021 | $32.3 | $59.7 | +85% |
| 2022 | $59.7 | $16.3 | -73% |
| 2023 | $16.3 | $63.2 | +288% |
| 2024 | $63.2 | $330.0 | +422% |
| 2025 | $330.0 | $158.8 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $158.8 | $114.4 | -28% |
MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.