MSTR
Strategy Inc
There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 89x earnings, below its usual 107x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
MSTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSTR PE Valuation
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
MSTR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$57.71 | -374% |
| Q2 2026 | -$94.04 | -960% |
| Q1 2026 | -$36.99 | -$14.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.23 | -$9.17 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.07 | +$23.35 |
| Q2 2025 | $10.93 | +$12.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.24 | -$21.39 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.06 | -330% |
MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MSTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.4M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $123M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $128.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.5M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.1M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.7M | -3% |
MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16671% | +13648 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6808% | -19064 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11642% | -6310 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14185% | -13343 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3023% | +3396 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12256% | +12436 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5331% | -5155 points |
| Q4 2024 | -842% | -808 points |
MSTR has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | +$15.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +$18.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.2M | -$4.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$37M | -$13M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.1M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.6M | -2204% |
MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MSTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +75.5M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +113M shares |
| 3 years | +201% | +286M shares |
| 5 years | +328% | +328M shares |
| Available history | +314% | +325M shares |
MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $744,000 |
| Q3 2020 | $60.6M |
| Q2 2020 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2020 | $50.7M |
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
MSTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -17.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -29.1x | Net Cash |
MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has more cash than debt.
MSTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
MSTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.2 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.6 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $138.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $235.9 | 52% below |
| 200 week MA | $168.2 | 32% below |
MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $32.3 | +123% |
| 2021 | $32.3 | $59.7 | +85% |
| 2022 | $59.7 | $16.3 | -73% |
| 2023 | $16.3 | $63.2 | +288% |
| 2024 | $63.2 | $330.0 | +422% |
| 2025 | $330.0 | $158.8 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $158.8 | $114.4 | -28% |
MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.