MSTR

Strategy Inc

There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 21x earnings, about a third of its usual 65x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MSTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSTR PE Valuation

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MSTR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MSTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $114.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSTR and NVDA's risk to reward.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSTR and NVDA's risk to reward.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$57.71-374%
Q2 2026-$94.04-960%
Q1 2026-$36.99-$14.75
Q4 2025-$15.23-$9.17
Q3 2025$21.07+$23.35
Q2 2025$10.93+$12.50
Q1 2025-$22.24-$21.39
Q4 2024-$6.06-330%

MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.4M-2.5%
Q2 2026$122.4M+6.9%
Q1 2026$124.3M+12%
Q4 2025$123M+1.9%
Q3 2025$128.7M+11%
Q2 2025$114.5M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111.1M-3.6%
Q4 2024$120.7M-3%

MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$5.9M+$31.1M
Q1 2026$13M+$18.2M
Q4 2025-$22.2M-$4.6M
Q3 2025-$11.1M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$37M-$13M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-119%
Q4 2024-$17.6M-2204%

MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+75.5M shares
1 year+36%+113M shares
3 years+201%+286M shares
5 years+328%+328M shares
Available history+314%+325M shares

MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSTR Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2020-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2020-11.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-17.1xNet Cash
Q4 2019-29.1xNet Cash

MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MSTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSTRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.219% below
20 week MA$123.67.4% below
50 week MA$138.117% below
100 week MA$235.952% below
200 week MA$168.232% below

MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$32.3+123%
2021$32.3$59.7+85%
2022$59.7$16.3-73%
2023$16.3$63.2+288%
2024$63.2$330.0+422%
2025$330.0$158.8-52%
2026 YTD$158.8$114.4-28%

MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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