MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
MSIF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over MSIF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
MSIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
MSIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.4x | $12.44 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $13.06 | +5% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $14.90 | +20% |
| Forward | 8.9x | $12.44 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $16.73 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSIF has the edge over SOFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
MSIF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over MSIF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
MSIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.39 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.68 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.63 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.33 | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.59 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.42 | +97% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.05 | +46% |
MSIF has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
MSIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $13.1M | -43% |
| Q3 2022 | $17.1M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2022 | $3.7M | -85% |
| Q1 2022 | $17.9M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.1M | +42% |
| Q3 2021 | $18.2M | -55% |
| Q2 2021 | $24.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2020 | $16.3M | +230% |
SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 43% for MSIF versus up 44% for SOFI.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 92% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2022 | 94% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2022 | 68% | -29 points |
| Q1 2022 | 93% | +14 points |
| Q4 2021 | 94% | +5.4 points |
| Q3 2021 | 92% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2021 | 97% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2021 | 80% | N/A |
MSIF's operating margin was 92% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MSIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.9M | +117% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.4M | +$54.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.5M | -$30.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.9M | +$61.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$72.5M | -$60.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -136% |
MSIF has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
MSIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -7.9K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -35M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +5.4M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +5.8M shares |
MSIF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $671,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $146,000 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
MSIF spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
MSIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 8,292.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 8,673.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 7,131.8x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 6,517.7x | High |
MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
MSIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.7 | Neutral |
MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MSIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
MSIF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MSIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.0 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 0% above |
MSIF has stronger trend alignment. MSIF is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus SOFI above 1 of 5.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
MSIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.3 | $13.6 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.6 | $12.4 | -8.8% |
MSIF has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.