MSGK

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MSGK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over MSGK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MSGK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

MSGK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSGK PE Valuation

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

MSGK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MSGK's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MSGK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$371.70
Downside-15%$267.23

Calculated from the latest close: $314.92 on Nov 12.

MSGK trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSGK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSGK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.24+$0.94
Q1 2026-$0.71-518%
Q4 2025-$0.53-130%
Q3 2025-$0.75-134%
Q2 2025-$0.70-138%
Q1 2025$0.17-77%
Q4 2024$1.79+50%
Q3 2024$2.20+59%

MSGK has returned to profit: it earned $0.24 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.7M+37%
Q1 2026$432.2M+1.9%
Q4 2025$403.4M+13%
Q3 2025$39.5M-26%
Q2 2025$204M-10%
Q1 2025$424.2M-1.3%
Q4 2024$357.8M+9.4%

MSGK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $45M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$146.9M-$61.6M
Q2 2026$57.6M+17%
Q1 2026$57.4M+1369%
Q4 2025$31.6M-48%
Q3 2025-$85.3M-$58.8M
Q2 2025$49.4M-54%
Q1 2025$3.9M-0.9%
Q4 2024$61.2M+84%

MSGK's free cash flow was −$353,000 over the past year, against $29M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSGK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+113K shares
1 year+0.7%+216K shares
3 years+0.2%+77K shares
5 years+0.5%+163K shares
Available history-28%-12.4M shares

MSGK has 32M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSGK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q4 202527.0xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy
Q2 20241.5xHealthy

MSGK's net debt is about 7.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSGK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.2Neutral
Stochastic64.3Neutral

MSGK's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

MSGK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMSGKSector medianRelative
PE1,299x16x7,775% above
PE %1002674 pts above

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over MSGK on valuation relative to its sector.

MSGK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$305.33.1% above
20 week MA$300.64.8% above
50 week MA$262.320% above
100 week MA$208.751% above
200 week MA$176.379% above

MSGK has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

MSGK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.7$133.5+21%
2021$133.5$131.1-1.8%
2022$131.1$136.7+4.3%
2023$136.7$136.9+0.2%
2024$136.9$166.5+22%
2025$166.5$195.9+18%
2026 YTD$195.9$314.9+61%

MSGK has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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