MSGK

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MSGK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over MSGK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MSGK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

MSGK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSGK PE Valuation

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

MSGK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MSGK's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MSGK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$371.70
Downside-15%$267.23

Calculated from the latest close: $314.92 on Nov 12.

MSGK trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSGK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSGK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.24+$0.94
Q1 2026-$0.71-518%
Q4 2025-$0.53-130%
Q3 2025-$0.75-134%
Q2 2025-$0.70-138%
Q1 2025$0.17-77%
Q4 2024$1.79+50%
Q3 2024$2.20+59%

MSGK has returned to profit: it earned $0.24 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.7M+37%
Q1 2026$432.2M+1.9%
Q4 2025$403.4M+13%
Q3 2025$39.5M-26%
Q2 2025$204M-10%
Q1 2025$424.2M-1.3%
Q4 2024$357.8M+9.4%

MSGK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $45M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$146.9M-$61.6M
Q2 2026$57.6M+17%
Q1 2026$57.4M+1369%
Q4 2025$31.6M-48%
Q3 2025-$85.3M-$58.8M
Q2 2025$49.4M-54%
Q1 2025$3.9M-0.9%
Q4 2024$61.2M+84%

MSGK's free cash flow was −$353,000 over the past year, against $29M the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSGK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+113K shares
1 year+0.7%+216K shares
3 years+0.2%+77K shares
5 years+0.5%+163K shares
Available history-28%-12.4M shares

MSGK has 32M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSGK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q4 202527.0xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy
Q2 20241.5xHealthy

MSGK's net debt is about 7.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSGK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.2Neutral
Stochastic64.3Neutral

MSGK's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MSGK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMSGKSector medianRelative
PE1,299x16x7,775% above
PE %1002674 pts above

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over MSGK on valuation relative to its sector.

MSGK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$305.33.1% above
20 week MA$300.64.8% above
50 week MA$262.320% above
100 week MA$208.751% above
200 week MA$176.379% above

MSGK has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

MSGK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.7$133.5+21%
2021$133.5$131.1-1.8%
2022$131.1$136.7+4.3%
2023$136.7$136.9+0.2%
2024$136.9$166.5+22%
2025$166.5$195.9+18%
2026 YTD$195.9$314.9+61%

MSGK has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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