MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
MSGE has a slight edge over TMUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MSGE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MSGE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSGE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $26.77 | -66% |
| Forward | 33x | $78.80 | — |
| Current | 39x | $78.80 | — |
| Fair | 52x | $105 | +33% |
| Expensive | 69x | $139 | +77% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSGE's PE is in its fair range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS has the edge over MSGE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSGE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MSGE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.
MSGE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +186% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.38 | +79% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.03 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.71 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.77 | -74% |
| Q3 2021 | -$15.88 | -$15.48 |
| Q2 2021 | -$17.02 | -1873% |
MSGE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.03 over the past year, against $3.57 in late 2024.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSGE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $217.1M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $271.1M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $246.3M | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $459.9M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.3M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $154.1M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $242.5M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $407.4M | +1.2% |
MSGE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $217M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5% | +23 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | -5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -17% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | 0 points |
MSGE's operating margin was 4.5% last quarter, up 23 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MSGE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.2M | -232% |
| Q2 2026 | -$16.6M | +$10.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $183.9M | +224% |
| Q4 2025 | $164.4M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.8M | +$47.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$27M | -12841% |
| Q1 2025 | $56.8M | +876% |
| Q4 2024 | $112.9M | +8.7% |
MSGE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$26M, but it generated $305M over the past year.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSGE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.1% | +517K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | +99% | +23.9M shares |
| Available history | +100% | +24M shares |
MSGE has 48M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
MSGE spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 61% from the year before.
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
MSGE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MSGE's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSGE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
MSGE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
MSGE PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MSGE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 16x | 135% above |
| PE % | 45 | 25 | 20 pts above |
MSGE is trading at 39x earnings, a 135% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS has the edge over MSGE on valuation relative to its sector.
MSGE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $79.0 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $78.4 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $68.8 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $53.6 | 47% above |
MSGE has stronger trend alignment. MSGE is above 3 of 4 weekly averages versus TMUS above 1 of 5.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.
MSGE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $59.0 | $31.8 | -46% |
| 2024 | $31.8 | $33.3 | +4.6% |
| 2025 | $33.3 | $54.0 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.0 | $78.8 | +46% |
MSGE has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.