MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
MSGE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over MSGE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MSGE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MSGE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSGE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $26.77 | -66% |
| Forward | 33x | $78.80 | — |
| Current | 39x | $78.80 | — |
| Fair | 52x | $105 | +33% |
| Expensive | 69x | $139 | +77% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSGE's PE is in its fair range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over MSGE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSGE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MSGE has the edge over NFLX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
MSGE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +186% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.38 | +79% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.03 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.71 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.77 | -74% |
| Q3 2021 | -$15.88 | -$15.48 |
| Q2 2021 | -$17.02 | -1873% |
MSGE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.03 over the past year, against $3.57 in late 2024.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSGE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $217.1M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $271.1M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $246.3M | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $459.9M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.3M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $154.1M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $242.5M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $407.4M | +1.2% |
MSGE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $217M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5% | +23 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | -5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -17% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | 0 points |
MSGE's operating margin was 4.5% last quarter, up 23 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MSGE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.2M | -232% |
| Q2 2026 | -$16.6M | +$10.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $183.9M | +224% |
| Q4 2025 | $164.4M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.8M | +$47.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$27M | -12841% |
| Q1 2025 | $56.8M | +876% |
| Q4 2024 | $112.9M | +8.7% |
MSGE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$26M, but it generated $305M over the past year.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
MSGE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.1% | +517K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | +99% | +23.9M shares |
| Available history | +100% | +24M shares |
MSGE has 48M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
MSGE spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 61% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
MSGE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MSGE's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSGE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
MSGE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MSGE PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MSGE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 16x | 135% above |
| PE % | 45 | 25 | 20 pts above |
MSGE is trading at 39x earnings, a 135% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX has the edge over MSGE on valuation relative to its sector.
MSGE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $79.0 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $78.4 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $68.8 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $53.6 | 47% above |
MSGE has stronger trend alignment. MSGE is above 3 of 4 weekly averages versus NFLX above 0 of 5.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
MSGE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $59.0 | $31.8 | -46% |
| 2024 | $31.8 | $33.3 | +4.6% |
| 2025 | $33.3 | $54.0 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.0 | $78.8 | +46% |
MSGE has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.