MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ZS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ZS

Zscaler, Inc.

63
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

ZS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ZS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

ZS's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

ZS PE Valuation

ZS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ZS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Broad
High

ZS has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$314.55
Downside-37%$122.23

Calculated from the latest close: $193.22 on Nov 12.

ZS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over ZS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ZS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.15Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.50Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $-0.48Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $5.04
Q4 2023: $-1.15Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.50Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $-0.48Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $5.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.04—
Q3 2026-$0.39-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.48-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.42-$0.32
Q4 2025-$0.26-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.27+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.25
Q1 2025-$0.10+$0.84
Q4 2024-$0.24+$0.91

ZS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.39 per share over the past year, against $2.77 at its worst in mid-2022.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $497MQ1 2024: $525MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $648MQ2 2025: $678MQ3 2025: $719MQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $850MQ3 2026: $898M
Q4 2023: $497MQ1 2024: $525MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $648MQ2 2025: $678MQ3 2025: $719MQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $850MQ3 2026: $898M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$898.2M+25%
Q2 2026$850.5M+25%
Q1 2026$815.8M+26%
Q4 2025$788.1M+26%
Q3 2025$719.2M+21%
Q2 2025$678M+23%
Q1 2025$647.9M+23%
Q4 2024$628M+26%

ZS has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ZS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $232MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $431MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $232MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $431MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79.4M-58%
Q2 2026$155.6M+12%
Q1 2026$186.3M+13%
Q4 2025$431M+37%
Q3 2025$190.6M+24%
Q2 2025$138.9M+0.8%
Q1 2025$164.4M+48%
Q4 2024$314.3M+35%

ZS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ZS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-522K shares
1 year+3.8%+5.8M shares
3 years+11%+15.3M shares
5 years+18%+24.6M shares
Available history+26%+32.7M shares

ZS has 160M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZS Net Leverage

ZS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ZS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.1Neutral
Stochastic49.0Neutral

ZS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ZS PE vs Technology Sector

ZS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over ZS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ZS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$214.39.8% below
20 week MA$184.74.6% above
50 week MA$175.410% above
100 week MA$214.19.7% below
200 week MA$192.30.5% above

ZS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.5% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over ZS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ZS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.6$205.3+331%
2021$205.3$323.0+57%
2022$323.0$108.8-66%
2023$108.8$221.6+104%
2024$221.6$184.6-17%
2025$184.6$230.5+25%
2026 YTD$230.5$193.2-16%

ZS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +331% in 2020 to −66% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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