MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ZM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

ZM

Zoom Communications, Inc.

71
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

ZM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ZM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ZM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

ZM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE950x1900x2850x3800x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE950x1900x2850x3800x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.1x$97.70—
Forward16x$97.70—
Cheap21x$230+135%
Fair31x$334+242%
Expensive538x$5,801+5838%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZM has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over ZM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

ZM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ZM's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$128.09
Downside-16%$81.67

Calculated from the latest close: $97.70 on Nov 12.

ZM trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ZM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $3.03Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.79Q4 2025: $5.14Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.79Q3 2026: $10.78Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $3.03Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.79Q4 2025: $5.14Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.79Q3 2026: $10.78Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22-42%
Q3 2026$10.78+184%
Q2 2026$6.79+104%
Q1 2026$6.18+93%
Q4 2025$5.14+70%
Q3 2025$3.79+34%
Q2 2025$3.33+23%
Q1 2025$3.21+55%
Q4 2024$3.03+304%

ZM has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ZM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ZM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+4.9%
Q2 2026$1.2B+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.2B+5.3%
Q4 2025$1.2B+4.4%
Q3 2025$1.2B+4.7%
Q2 2025$1.2B+2.9%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3.3%
Q4 2024$1.2B+3.6%

ZM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.3B last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ZM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $453MQ1 2024: $333MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: $458MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $463MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $614MQ1 2026: $338MQ2 2026: $500MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $453MQ1 2024: $333MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: $458MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $463MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $614MQ1 2026: $338MQ2 2026: $500MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$472.4M-7%
Q2 2026$500.5M+8%
Q1 2026$338.4M-19%
Q4 2025$614.3M+34%
Q3 2025$508M+39%
Q2 2025$463.4M-19%
Q1 2025$416.2M+25%
Q4 2024$457.7M+1%

ZM has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ZM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 310MQ1 2024: 309MQ2 2024: 315MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 315MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 308MQ4 2025: 305MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 300MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 310MQ1 2024: 309MQ2 2024: 315MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 315MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 308MQ4 2025: 305MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 300MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-487K shares
1 year-2.8%-8.5M shares
3 years-2%-6.2M shares
5 years-2%-6.1M shares
Available history+2.4%+7M shares

ZM has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.6xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -4.6xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash

ZM has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ZM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic35.2Neutral

ZM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ZM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricZMSector medianRelative
PE9.1x28x67% below
PE %23533 pts below

ZM has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

ZM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$94.23.7% above
20 week MA$95.42.4% above
50 week MA$91.56.8% above
100 week MA$85.414% above
200 week MA$76.628% above

ZM has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

ZM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.6$375.2+463%
2021$375.2$191.7-49%
2022$191.7$65.9-66%
2023$65.9$71.9+9.1%
2024$71.9$83.8+17%
2025$83.8$88.0+5%
2026 YTD$88.0$97.7+11%

ZM has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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