MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over ZENA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ZENA
ZenaTech, Inc.
ZENA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ZENA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
ZENA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
ZENA PE Valuation
ZENA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ZENA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ZENA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ZENA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ZENA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.41 | -$1.00 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.34 | -$1.05 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.93 | -$0.78 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.58 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.39 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.28 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.15 | -$0.14 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.04 | -$0.02 |
ZENA lost $1.41 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last nine quarters.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ZENA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ZENA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.5M | +314% |
| Q1 2026 | $6M | +652% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6M | +671% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1M | +1225% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M | +504% |
| Q1 2025 | $798.4K | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $473.4K | -4.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $230.5K | +23% |
ZENA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $7M last quarter, up 314% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -235% | -60 points |
| Q1 2026 | -257% | +6.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -262% | +97 points |
| Q3 2025 | -101% | +61 points |
| Q2 2025 | -174% | -149 points |
| Q1 2025 | -263% | -269 points |
| Q4 2024 | -359% | -420 points |
| Q3 2024 | -162% | -131 points |
ZENA's operating margin was −235% last quarter, down 60 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over ZENA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ZENA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$18.9M | -$13.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$14.9M | -$10.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.2M | -$10M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.9M | -$4.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.2M | -$4.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$4M | -$3.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.2M | -$2.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.6M | -679% |
ZENA has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$54M over the past year, against −$15M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over ZENA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ZENA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +137% | +46.8M shares |
| 1 year | +156% | +49.3M shares |
| 3 years | +381% | +64.1M shares |
ZENA has 81M diluted shares, up 156% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ZENA hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ZENA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 81.3x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 17.6x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 16.8x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 17.2x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 46.4x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 17.0x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2022 | 8.4x | High |
ZENA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ZENA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.3 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 2.7 | Oversold |
ZENA's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ZENA PE vs Technology Sector
ZENA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus ZENA above 0 of 4.
ZENA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.01 | 38% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.36 | 54% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.06 | 69% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.23 | 80% below |
ZENA is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 100-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over ZENA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ZENA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3.91 | $8.48 | +117% |
| 2025 | $8.48 | $3.42 | -60% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.42 | $0.63 | -82% |
ZENA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2024 to −60% in 2025. It's down 82% so far in 2026.