MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ZBRA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ZBRA

Zebra Technologies Corporation

70
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

ZBRA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ZBRA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

ZBRA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over ZBRA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ZBRA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$318—
Cheap25x$311-2%
Current26x$318—
Fair31x$387+22%
Expensive48x$596+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZBRA's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ZBRA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

ZBRA has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZBRA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZBRA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$449.92
Downside-16%$267.69

Calculated from the latest close: $317.83 on Nov 12.

ZBRA trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ZBRA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $5.05Q2 2024: $4.44Q3 2024: $7.36Q4 2024: $10.18Q1 2025: $10.57Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $9.92Q4 2025: $8.18Q2 2026: $8.28Q3 2026: $10.94Q4 2026: $12.40Forward: $21.67
Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $5.05Q2 2024: $4.44Q3 2024: $7.36Q4 2024: $10.18Q1 2025: $10.57Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $9.92Q4 2025: $8.18Q2 2026: $8.28Q3 2026: $10.94Q4 2026: $12.40Forward: $21.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.67+75%
Q3 2026$12.40+25%
Q2 2026$10.94+3.3%
Q1 2026$8.28-22%
Q4 2025$8.18-20%
Q3 2025$9.92+35%
Q2 2025$10.59+139%
Q1 2025$10.57+109%
Q4 2024$10.18+78%

ZBRA earned $12.40 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ZBRA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ZBRA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+22%
Q2 2026$1.6B+20%
Q1 2026$1.5B+14%
Q4 2025$1.5B+11%
Q3 2025$1.3B+5.2%
Q2 2025$1.3B+6.2%
Q1 2025$1.3B+11%
Q4 2024$1.3B+32%

ZBRA's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ZBRA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $277MQ4 2024: $288MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $327MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $198MQ4 2026: $300M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $277MQ4 2024: $288MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $327MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $198MQ4 2026: $300M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$300M+39%
Q2 2026$198M+52%
Q1 2026$163M+3.2%
Q4 2025$327M+14%
Q3 2025$216M-22%
Q2 2025$130M-53%
Q1 2025$158M+42%
Q4 2024$288M+182%

ZBRA has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ZBRA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48MQ4 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48MQ4 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-316K shares
1 year-6.6%-3.4M shares
3 years-6.9%-3.5M shares
5 years-11%-6.1M shares
Available history-12%-6.8M shares

ZBRA has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over ZBRA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ZBRA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4xQ4 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4xQ4 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

ZBRA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ZBRA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic38.6Neutral

ZBRA's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ZBRA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricZBRASector medianRelative
PE26x28x8% below
PE %193516 pts below

ZBRA has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over ZBRA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ZBRA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$361.212% below
20 week MA$339.46.4% below
50 week MA$278.514% above
100 week MA$292.78.6% above
200 week MA$294.48% above

ZBRA has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 8% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

ZBRA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$256.0$376.9+47%
2021$376.9$582.4+55%
2022$582.4$248.2-57%
2023$248.2$273.3+10%
2024$273.3$389.1+42%
2025$389.1$246.3-37%
2026 YTD$246.3$317.8+29%

ZBRA has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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