MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has a slight edge over YOU overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

YOU

Clear Secure, Inc.

75
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

YOU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

YOU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

YOU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over YOU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

YOU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x747x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x747x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$32.82-42%
Forward25x$56.79—
Fair32x$54.08-4.8%
Current33x$56.79—
Expensive50x$85.27+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YOU's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

YOU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

YOU has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails YOU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

YOU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$88.48
Downside-18%$46.44

Calculated from the latest close: $56.79 on Nov 12.

YOU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

YOU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $2.31
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $2.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.31+35%
Q3 2026$1.71+1.8%
Q2 2026$1.48-9.8%
Q1 2026$1.25-24%
Q4 2025$1.12-29%
Q3 2025$1.68+95%
Q2 2025$1.64+110%
Q1 2025$1.64+169%
Q4 2024$1.58+394%

YOU earned $1.71 per share over the past year, up 1.8% from the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

YOU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $253MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $253MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$292.9M+28%
Q2 2026$277.8M+27%
Q1 2026$253M+20%
Q4 2025$240.8M+17%
Q3 2025$229.2M+16%
Q2 2025$219.5M+18%
Q1 2025$211.4M+18%
Q4 2024$206.3M+21%

YOU has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

YOU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: −$38MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: −$53MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: −$104M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: −$38MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: −$53MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: −$104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$103.8M-$50.4M
Q2 2026$189M+60%
Q1 2026$185.5M+103%
Q4 2025$187.4M+40%
Q3 2025-$53.5M-$15.6M
Q2 2025$117.9M+7.2%
Q1 2025$91.3M+18%
Q4 2024$133.9M+49%

YOU has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over YOU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

YOU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 95MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 131M
Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 95MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 131M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+28%+28.5M shares
1 year+34%+33.5M shares
3 years+44%+40.4M shares
5 years+79%+58M shares
Available history+79%+57.8M shares

YOU has 131M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago, despite $174M in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

YOU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

YOU has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

YOU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.1Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

YOU's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over YOU on valuation relative to its sector.

YOU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricYOUSector medianRelative
PE33x28x19% above
PE %554312 pts above

YOU is trading at 33x earnings, a 19% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

YOU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.622% above
20 week MA$47.719% above
50 week MA$46.323% above
100 week MA$37.551% above
200 week MA$30.487% above

YOU has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

YOU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$48.0$30.3-37%
2022$30.3$26.8-12%
2023$26.8$20.7-23%
2024$20.7$27.2+32%
2025$27.2$35.9+32%
2026 YTD$35.9$56.8+58%

YOU has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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