MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over YALA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

YALA

Yalla Group Limited

44
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

YALA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

YALA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Strong

YALA's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over YALA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

YALA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$5.13-6.3%
Current7.1x$5.47—
Fair8.5x$6.58+20%
Expensive10x$7.90+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YALA's PE is in its cheap range at 7.1x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

YALA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for YALA to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than YALA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

YALA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$6.58
Downside-34%$3.63

Calculated from the latest close: $5.47 on Nov 12.

YALA trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over YALA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YALA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.56Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.77
Q3 2023: $0.56Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.79Q2 2026: $0.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.77-3.7%
Q1 2026$0.79+2.6%
Q4 2025$0.83+12%
Q3 2025$0.81+11%
Q2 2025$0.80+13%
Q1 2025$0.77+10%
Q4 2024$0.74+16%
Q3 2024$0.73+30%

YALA earned $0.77 per share over the past year, down 3.7% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over YALA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YALA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $85MQ4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $81MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $83M
Q3 2023: $85MQ4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $81MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $83M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$82.6M-2.3%
Q1 2026$79M-5.8%
Q4 2025$83.9M-7.7%
Q3 2025$89.6M+0.8%
Q2 2025$84.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$83.9M+6.5%
Q4 2024$90.8M+12%
Q3 2024$88.9M+4.4%

YALA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $83M last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over YALA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YALA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

YALA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

YALA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 183MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 179MQ4 2025: 178MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175M
Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 183MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 179MQ4 2025: 178MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-2.1M shares
1 year-3.2%-5.7M shares
3 years-3.2%-5.7M shares
5 years-4%-7.4M shares
Available history+136%+101M shares

YALA has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

YALA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.7xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.7xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.8xNet Cash

YALA has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

YALA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

YALA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

YALA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricYALASector medianRelative
PE7.1x28x75% below
PE %253813 pts below

YALA has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over YALA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

YALA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.500.5% below
20 week MA$5.460.2% above
50 week MA$6.1511% below
100 week MA$6.2212% below
200 week MA$5.460.2% above

YALA's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.2% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over YALA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YALA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.70$17.0+154%
2021$17.0$6.30-63%
2022$6.30$3.56-43%
2023$3.56$6.13+72%
2024$6.13$4.14-32%
2025$4.14$7.17+73%
2026 YTD$7.17$5.47-24%

YALA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +154% in 2020 to −63% in 2021. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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