MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over XYZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
XYZ
Block, Inc.
XYZ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
XYZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
XYZ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over XYZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
XYZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $12.08 | -85% |
| Forward | 16x | $82.26 | — |
| Fair | 93x | $69.03 | -16% |
| Current | 111x | $82.26 | — |
| Expensive | 316x | $233 | +184% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
XYZ's PE is in its fair range at 111x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
XYZ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
XYZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.04 | +581% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.74 | -85% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.56 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.28 | -69% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.10 | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.97 | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.68 | +260% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.12 | +422% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +22700% |
XYZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.74 over the past year, against $4.97 in late 2025.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over XYZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over XYZ on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XYZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.7B | +9.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1B | +4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.1B | +2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.1B | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.8B | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6B | +4.5% |
XYZ's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $6.7B last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8% | -8.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +7.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | +2.5 points |
XYZ's operating margin was 6.4% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
XYZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $972M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $966.6M | +182% |
| Q1 2026 | $935M | +822% |
| Q4 2025 | $579.8M | +$593M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $343M | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $101.5M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.2M | +$836.4M |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
XYZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +5.9M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +3.5M shares |
| 5 years | +22% | +111M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +149M shares |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $64.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $636M |
| Q4 2025 | $790.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $403M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $445.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $183.2M |
XYZ spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 13% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
XYZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
XYZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.5 | Neutral |
XYZ's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over XYZ on valuation relative to its sector.
XYZ PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | XYZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 111x | 28x | 299% above |
| PE % | 52 | 35 | 17 pts above |
XYZ is trading at 111x earnings, a 299% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
XYZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.3 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $79.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.0 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $70.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.1 | 19% above |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
XYZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $63.8 | $228.3 | +258% |
| 2021 | $228.3 | $167.7 | -27% |
| 2022 | $167.7 | $60.9 | -64% |
| 2023 | $60.9 | $77.4 | +27% |
| 2024 | $77.4 | $89.0 | +15% |
| 2025 | $89.0 | $66.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.3 | $82.3 | +24% |
XYZ has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.