MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over XRX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

XRX

Xerox Holdings Corporation

45
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

XRX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

XRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

XRX's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

XRX PE Valuation

XRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

XRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect XRX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$2.07
Downside-52%$0.48

Calculated from the latest close: $0.99 on Nov 12.

XRX trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over XRX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-10.93Q4 2024: $-10.75Q1 2025: $-10.56Q2 2025: $-11.54Q3 2025: $-7.84Q4 2025: $-8.25Q1 2026: $-8.34Q2 2026: $-7.40Q3 2026: $-9.12
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-10.93Q4 2024: $-10.75Q1 2025: $-10.56Q2 2025: $-11.54Q3 2025: $-7.84Q4 2025: $-8.25Q1 2026: $-8.34Q2 2026: $-7.40Q3 2026: $-9.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$9.12-$1.28
Q2 2026-$7.40+$4.14
Q1 2026-$8.34+$2.22
Q4 2025-$8.25+$2.50
Q3 2025-$7.84+$3.09
Q2 2025-$11.54-$10.60
Q1 2025-$10.56-$9.10
Q4 2024-$10.75-$10.66

XRX is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $9.12 per share over the past year, against $11.54 at its worst in mid-2025.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over XRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-4.7%
Q2 2026$1.9B+22%
Q1 2026$1.8B+27%
Q4 2025$2B+26%
Q3 2025$2B+28%
Q2 2025$1.6B-0.1%
Q1 2025$1.5B-3%
Q4 2024$1.6B-8.6%

XRX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.9B last quarter, down 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over XRX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $346MQ1 2025: −$94MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: −$156MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $346MQ1 2025: −$94MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: −$156MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17M-84%
Q2 2026$23M+$38M
Q1 2026-$156M-$62M
Q4 2025$192M-45%
Q3 2025$104M-3.7%
Q2 2025-$15M-113%
Q1 2025-$94M-$7M
Q4 2024$346M-9.2%

XRX still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $76M over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over XRX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 132M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 132M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+750K shares
1 year+3.7%+4.7M shares
3 years-16%-25.5M shares
5 years-27%-47.8M shares
Available history-44%-102M shares

XRX has 132M diluted shares, up 3.7% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over XRX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

XRX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.8xQ2 2024: 28.6xQ2 2026: 304.8x
Q4 2023: 9.8xQ2 2024: 28.6xQ2 2026: 304.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026304.8xHigh
Q2 202428.6xHigh
Q4 20239.8xHigh
Q3 20234.8xHigh
Q2 202397.1xHigh
Q1 202319.8xHigh
Q3 20212.1xModerate
Q2 20212.0xModerate

XRX's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

XRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.8Oversold
Stochastic2.0Oversold

XRX's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

XRX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXRXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

XRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over XRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.2155% below
20 week MA$2.7063% below
50 week MA$2.4860% below
100 week MA$3.8774% below
200 week MA$9.0589% below

XRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 89% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over XRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.3$22.6-39%
2021$22.6$22.5-0.6%
2022$22.5$14.6-35%
2023$14.6$18.3+25%
2024$18.3$9.15-50%
2025$9.15$2.49-73%
2026 YTD$2.49$0.99-60%

XRX has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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