MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over XPER overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

XPER

Xperi Inc.

62
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

XPER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

XPER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy

XPER's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

XPER PE Valuation

XPER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

XPER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

XPER has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XPER, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XPER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$7.92
Downside-22%$4.81

Calculated from the latest close: $6.15 on Nov 12.

XPER trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over XPER on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XPER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.71Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-1.89Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $-1.23Q1 2026: $-0.99Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.07
Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.71Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-1.89Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $-1.23Q1 2026: $-0.99Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.07—
Q3 2026-$0.68-525%
Q2 2026-$0.70-$0.62
Q1 2026-$0.99-$0.56
Q4 2025-$1.23-$0.92
Q3 2025$0.16+$2.05
Q2 2025-$0.08+$2.40
Q1 2025-$0.43+$2.28
Q4 2024-$0.31+$2.87

XPER has swung to a loss: it lost $0.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over XPER on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XPER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $114M
Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $114M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114M+2.1%
Q2 2026$114.5M+8.1%
Q1 2026$114.2M+0.2%
Q4 2025$116.5M-4.8%
Q3 2025$111.6M-16%
Q2 2025$105.9M-11%
Q1 2025$114M-4%
Q4 2024$122.4M-11%

XPER's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $114M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over XPER on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XPER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M-51%
Q2 2026$14.1M+47%
Q1 2026-$19.1M+$4.2M
Q4 2025$1.2M+$1.7M
Q3 2025$6.7M+$12.4M
Q2 2025$9.5M+$12.1M
Q1 2025-$23.3M+$28.3M
Q4 2024-$510K-103%

XPER's free cash flow was −$633,000 over the past year, against −$8M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over XPER on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XPER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+360K shares
1 year+5.4%+2.5M shares
3 years+13%+5.5M shares
5 years+17%+7.1M shares
Available history-2.8%-1.4M shares

XPER has 49M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XPER Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -12.5xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -12.5xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-12.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.5xNet Cash
Q3 20212.9xModerate
Q2 20212.5xModerate
Q1 20212.6xModerate

XPER has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

XPER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic30.8Neutral

XPER's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

XPER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXPERSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

XPER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over XPER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XPER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4413% above
20 week MA$6.271.9% below
50 week MA$6.373.5% below
100 week MA$6.9411% below
200 week MA$8.5128% below

XPER has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 28% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over XPER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XPER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$14.8$8.35-44%
2023$8.35$11.0+32%
2024$11.0$10.1-8.1%
2025$10.1$5.93-41%
2026 YTD$5.93$6.15+3.7%

XPER has finished lower in three of the last four years. It's up 3.7% so far in 2026.

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