MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over WK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

WK

Workiva Inc.

68
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

WK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

WK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

WK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$68.51—
Current61x$68.51—
Cheap85x$96.44+41%
Fair102x$115+68%
Expensive215x$243+254%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WK has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

WK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WK, with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$94.36
Downside-26%$50.50

Calculated from the latest close: $68.51 on Nov 12.

WK trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

WK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.36Q1 2024: $-1.71Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.99Q1 2025: $-1.16Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-0.83Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $0.24Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $1.13Forward: $3.26
Q4 2023: $-2.36Q1 2024: $-1.71Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.99Q1 2025: $-1.16Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-0.83Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $0.24Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $1.13Forward: $3.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.26+189%
Q3 2026$1.13+$1.96
Q2 2026$0.83+$2.02
Q1 2026$0.24+$1.40
Q4 2025-$0.47+$0.52
Q3 2025-$0.83+$0.08
Q2 2025-$1.19+$0.45
Q1 2025-$1.16+$0.55
Q4 2024-$0.99+$1.37

WK has returned to profit: it earned $1.13 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

WK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $206MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $239MQ1 2026: $247MQ2 2026: $255MQ3 2026: $263M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $206MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $239MQ1 2026: $247MQ2 2026: $255MQ3 2026: $263M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$263M+17%
Q2 2026$255.3M+19%
Q1 2026$247.3M+20%
Q4 2025$238.9M+20%
Q3 2025$224.2M+21%
Q2 2025$215.2M+21%
Q1 2025$206.3M+17%
Q4 2024$199.9M+20%

WK has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

WK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$122,000Q3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$122,000Q3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$68.7M+49%
Q2 2026$78M+58%
Q1 2026$25.7M+$33.9M
Q4 2025$50.7M+18%
Q3 2025$46.1M+147%
Q2 2025$49.3M+$49.4M
Q1 2025-$8.1M-133%
Q4 2024$43.2M+80%

WK has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-851K shares
1 year-5.1%-3M shares
3 years+1.7%+948K shares
5 years+7.3%+3.8M shares
Available history+17%+8.1M shares

WK has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WK Net Leverage

Q1 2026: -40.6xQ2 2026: -6.0xQ3 2026: -5.3x
Q1 2026: -40.6xQ2 2026: -6.0xQ3 2026: -5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-40.6xNet Cash

WK has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

WK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic51.9Neutral

WK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over WK on valuation relative to its sector.

WK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWKSector medianRelative
PE61x28x118% above
PE %03535 pts below

WK is trading at 61x earnings, a 118% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over WK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.08.7% below
20 week MA$69.21.1% below
50 week MA$66.62.9% above
100 week MA$74.58% below
200 week MA$82.417% below

WK's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over WK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.6$92.7+123%
2021$92.7$133.4+44%
2022$133.4$83.7-37%
2023$83.7$101.5+21%
2024$101.5$111.1+9.5%
2025$111.1$87.5-21%
2026 YTD$87.5$68.5-22%

WK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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