MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over WIX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

WIX

Wix.com Ltd.

55
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

WIX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Healthy
Weak

WIX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

WIX PE Valuation

WIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

WIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

WIX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WIX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$113.56
Downside-41%$38.71

Calculated from the latest close: $65.90 on Nov 12.

WIX trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over WIX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

WIX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.19Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $1.12Q2 2024: $1.24Q3 2024: $1.58Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.79Q3 2025: $2.32Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-3.54Forward: $6.03
Q3 2023: $-0.19Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $1.12Q2 2024: $1.24Q3 2024: $1.58Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.79Q3 2025: $2.32Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-3.54Forward: $6.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.03—
Q2 2026-$3.54-227%
Q1 2026-$0.79-132%
Q4 2025$0.80-66%
Q3 2025$2.32+47%
Q2 2025$2.79+125%
Q1 2025$2.48+121%
Q4 2024$2.32+338%
Q3 2024$1.58+$1.77

WIX has swung to a loss: it lost $3.54 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over WIX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WIX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $394MQ4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $420MQ2 2024: $436MQ3 2024: $445MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $474MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $524MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $563M
Q3 2023: $394MQ4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $420MQ2 2024: $436MQ3 2024: $445MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $474MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $505MQ4 2025: $524MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $563M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$563.1M+15%
Q1 2026$541.2M+14%
Q4 2025$524.3M+14%
Q3 2025$505.2M+14%
Q2 2025$489.9M+12%
Q1 2025$473.7M+13%
Q4 2024$460.5M+14%
Q3 2024$444.7M+13%

WIX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $563M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

WIX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $45MQ4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $106MQ2 2024: $113MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $56M
Q3 2023: $45MQ4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $106MQ2 2024: $113MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$56.2M-62%
Q1 2026$75.2M-47%
Q4 2025$171.5M+30%
Q3 2025$145.3M+14%
Q2 2025$147.7M+31%
Q1 2025$142.4M+35%
Q4 2024$131.8M+71%
Q3 2024$127.8M+185%

WIX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WIX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 58MQ4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 43M
Q3 2023: 58MQ4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-24%-13.4M shares
1 year-28%-16.7M shares
3 years-31%-19.2M shares
5 years-34%-22M shares
Available history-16%-7.9M shares

WIX has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WIX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 18.4x
Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 18.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202518.4xHigh
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20243.1xElevated
Q2 20245.2xHigh
Q1 20244.5xHigh

WIX's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

WIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic41.0Neutral

WIX's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

WIX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWIXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

WIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over WIX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.912% below
20 week MA$69.65.3% below
50 week MA$73.911% below
100 week MA$120.245% below
200 week MA$121.146% below

WIX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over WIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$121.8$267.1+119%
2021$267.1$162.9-39%
2022$162.9$76.3-53%
2023$76.3$123.0+61%
2024$123.0$218.3+77%
2025$218.3$105.5-52%
2026 YTD$105.5$65.9-38%

WIX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +119% in 2020 to −53% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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