MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over WEX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

WEX

WEX Inc.

72
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

WEX offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Weak

WEX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

WEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.9x$179—
Current15x$179—
Cheap19x$215+20%
Fair28x$329+83%
Expensive53x$610+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WEX has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

WEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

WEX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WEX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$247.09
Downside-13%$156.37

Calculated from the latest close: $179.49 on Nov 12.

WEX trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

WEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.68+96%
Q3 2026$11.59+51%
Q2 2026$10.01+27%
Q1 2026$8.88+14%
Q4 2025$8.47+13%
Q3 2025$7.69-2.4%
Q2 2025$7.91+37%
Q1 2025$7.76+26%
Q4 2024$7.50+22%

WEX earned $11.59 per share over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over WEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$780.1M+13%
Q2 2026$753.5M+14%
Q1 2026$673.8M+5.8%
Q4 2025$672.9M+5.7%
Q3 2025$691.8M+4%
Q2 2025$659.6M-2.1%
Q1 2025$636.6M-2.5%
Q4 2024$636.5M-4%

WEX's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $780M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over WEX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

WEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$58.2M-117%
Q2 2026-$121.1M-153%
Q1 2026-$368.3M+$145.9M
Q4 2025$236.1M-61%
Q3 2025$341.6M+$373.3M
Q2 2025$230M+$276.6M
Q1 2025-$514.2M-$326.9M
Q4 2024$599.7M-17%

WEX's free cash flow was −$312M over the past year, against $657M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-200K shares
3 years-20%-8.8M shares
5 years-24%-10.7M shares
Available history-21%-9.2M shares

WEX has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over WEX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 20255.3xHigh
Q4 20244.0xHigh

WEX's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

WEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

WEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

WEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWEXSector medianRelative
PE15x28x44% below
PE %13534 pts below

WEX has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over WEX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$180.70.7% below
20 week MA$181.51.1% below
50 week MA$163.99.5% above
100 week MA$158.913% above
200 week MA$175.32.4% above

WEX has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 2.4% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

WEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$209.4$203.5-2.8%
2021$203.5$137.6-32%
2022$137.6$161.9+18%
2023$161.9$194.6+20%
2024$194.6$173.1-11%
2025$173.1$153.1-12%
2026 YTD$153.1$179.5+17%

WEX has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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