MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has a slight edge over VTEX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
VTEX
Vtex
VTEX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VTEX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VTEX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
VTEX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $3.94 | — |
| Current | 23x | $3.94 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $4.99 | +27% |
| Fair | 72x | $12.19 | +209% |
| Expensive | 137x | $23.24 | +490% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VTEX has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
VTEX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
VTEX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
VTEX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.22 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.17 | +143% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.13 | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.11 | +83% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.09 | +80% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.07 | +250% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.08 | +$0.12 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | +$0.13 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.05 | +$0.14 |
VTEX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.17 over the past year, up 143% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over VTEX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over VTEX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VTEX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $64.4M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $60.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $68M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $59.6M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $58.8M | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $54.2M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $61.5M | +1.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $56M | +11% |
VTEX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $64M last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4% | +4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.1% | +12 points |
VTEX's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
VTEX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $13.3M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.3M | +100% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.1M | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.5M | -9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.1M | +141% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.6M | +325% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4M | +31% |
| Q3 2024 | $8.3M | +210% |
VTEX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
VTEX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -8.9% | -16.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.7% | -16.2M shares |
| 5 years | -8.8% | -16.4M shares |
| Available history | -8.8% | -16.4M shares |
VTEX has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $23.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $21.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $18.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $11.2M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
VTEX spent $74M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 145% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
VTEX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
VTEX has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
VTEX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.1 | Neutral |
VTEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
VTEX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VTEX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 28x | 17% below |
| PE % | 0 | 44 | 44 pts below |
VTEX has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over VTEX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VTEX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.94 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.91 | 0.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.76 | 4.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.52 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.30 | 26% below |
VTEX's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over VTEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VTEX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $25.4 | $11.7 | -54% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $3.42 | -71% |
| 2023 | $3.42 | $6.88 | +101% |
| 2024 | $6.88 | $5.75 | -16% |
| 2025 | $5.75 | $3.71 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.71 | $3.94 | +6.2% |
VTEX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +101% in 2023 to −71% in 2022. It's up 6.2% so far in 2026.