MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over VRSN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VRSN

VeriSign, Inc.

63
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

VRSN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRSN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRSN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over VRSN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VRSN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$228-27%
Forward29x$312—
Fair30x$282-9.6%
Current34x$312—
Expensive35x$326+4.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRSN's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

VRSN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRSN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VRSN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$361.31
Downside-13%$270.88

Calculated from the latest close: $312.48 on Nov 12.

VRSN trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over VRSN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRSN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.90Q1 2024: $8.12Q2 2024: $8.34Q3 2024: $8.58Q4 2024: $8.00Q1 2025: $8.18Q2 2025: $8.38Q3 2025: $8.58Q4 2025: $8.81Q1 2026: $9.05Q2 2026: $9.22Q3 2026: $9.30Forward: $10.86
Q4 2023: $7.90Q1 2024: $8.12Q2 2024: $8.34Q3 2024: $8.58Q4 2024: $8.00Q1 2025: $8.18Q2 2025: $8.38Q3 2025: $8.58Q4 2025: $8.81Q1 2026: $9.05Q2 2026: $9.22Q3 2026: $9.30Forward: $10.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.86+17%
Q3 2026$9.30+8.4%
Q2 2026$9.22+10%
Q1 2026$9.05+11%
Q4 2025$8.81+10%
Q3 2025$8.580%
Q2 2025$8.38+0.5%
Q1 2025$8.18+0.7%
Q4 2024$8.00+1.3%

VRSN earned $9.30 per share over the past year, up 8.4% from the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over VRSN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VRSN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $387MQ3 2024: $391MQ4 2024: $395MQ1 2025: $402MQ2 2025: $410MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $425MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $443M
Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $387MQ3 2024: $391MQ4 2024: $395MQ1 2025: $402MQ2 2025: $410MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $425MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $443M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$443M+5.7%
Q2 2026$434.6M+6%
Q1 2026$428.9M+6.6%
Q4 2025$425.3M+7.6%
Q3 2025$419.1M+7.3%
Q2 2025$409.9M+5.9%
Q1 2025$402.3M+4.7%
Q4 2024$395.4M+3.9%

VRSN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $443M last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

VRSN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $199MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $248MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $261M
Q4 2023: $199MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $248MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $261M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$260.7M-14%
Q2 2026$212.8M+9.3%
Q1 2026$265.2M-7.1%
Q4 2025$285.1M+28%
Q3 2025$303M+22%
Q2 2025$194.7M+29%
Q1 2025$285.5M+13%
Q4 2024$222M+11%

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VRSN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 104MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 94MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 104MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 94MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-700K shares
1 year-3.4%-3.2M shares
3 years-12%-12.6M shares
5 years-19%-21.4M shares
Available history-24%-28.6M shares

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VRSN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

VRSN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.5Neutral
Stochastic78.0Neutral

VRSN's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over VRSN on valuation relative to its sector.

VRSN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVRSNSector medianRelative
PE34x28x21% above
PE %743539 pts above

VRSN is trading at 34x earnings, a 21% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

VRSN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$301.33.7% above
20 week MA$291.37.3% above
50 week MA$270.216% above
100 week MA$263.219% above
200 week MA$230.636% above

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

VRSN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$194.1$214.6+11%
2021$214.6$249.6+16%
2022$249.6$203.7-18%
2023$203.7$206.0+1.1%
2024$206.0$204.0-1%
2025$204.0$246.3+21%
2026 YTD$246.3$312.5+27%

VRSN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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