MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over VNT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
VNT
Vontier Corporation
VNT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VNT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
VNT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over VNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VNT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $24.70 | -43% |
| Forward | 11x | $43.18 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $32.92 | -24% |
| Expensive | 16x | $38.45 | -11% |
| Current | 18x | $43.18 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNT's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
VNT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect VNT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over VNT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VNT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.84 | +57% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.44 | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.41 | -8.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.83 | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.76 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.73 | +4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.63 | +1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.46 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.75 | +14% |
VNT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.44 over the past year, against $3.39 in early 2022.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over VNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over VNT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VNT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $736.9M | -2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $756.7M | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $750.6M | +1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $808.5M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $752.5M | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $773.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $741.1M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $776.8M | -1.5% |
VNT's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $737M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +0.7 points |
VNT's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 2.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
VNT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $122M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $94.9M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.8M | -73% |
| Q4 2025 | $174.8M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $90.3M | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $83.3M | +274% |
| Q1 2025 | $92.7M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $148M | -0.2% |
VNT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
VNT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.1% | -4.4M shares |
| 1 year | -8.1% | -12M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -20.4M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -34.9M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -34.3M shares |
VNT has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80M |
| Q2 2026 | $130M |
| Q1 2026 | $70M |
| Q4 2025 | $125.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $70M |
| Q2 2025 | $50.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $55M |
| Q4 2024 | $60.1M |
VNT spent $405M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over VNT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VNT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
VNT's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
VNT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 75.3 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 91.1 | Overbought |
VNT's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
VNT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VNT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 28x | 36% below |
| PE % | 94 | 38 | 56 pts above |
VNT has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
VNT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.5 | 22% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.3 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.6 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $36.0 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.9 | 24% above |
VNT has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
VNT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.0 | $34.0 | -0.1% |
| 2021 | $34.0 | $30.4 | -11% |
| 2022 | $30.4 | $18.9 | -38% |
| 2023 | $18.9 | $34.6 | +83% |
| 2024 | $34.6 | $36.6 | +6% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $38.1 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.1 | $43.2 | +13% |
VNT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.