MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over VERX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
VERX
Vertex, Inc.
VERX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VERX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
VERX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
VERX PE Valuation
VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
VERX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
VERX has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
VERX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.99 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.28 | +$0.06 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.04 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.38 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.34 | -270% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.32 | -346% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.28 | -660% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.33 | -$0.24 |
VERX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.28 per share over the past year, against $0.57 at its worst in late 2020.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VERX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $213.3M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $204M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $196.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.7M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $192.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $177.1M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $178.5M | +15% |
VERX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $213M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8% | +8.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.1% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.3% | -5.7 points |
VERX's operating margin was 0.1% last quarter, down 2.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
VERX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53.2M | +76% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.6M | -46% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.7M | +$19.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.1M | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.2M | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.6M | -47% |
| Q1 2025 | -$12.3M | -372% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | -38% |
VERX has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
VERX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +876K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +96.8K shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +10.2M shares |
| 5 years | +9.5% | +14.1M shares |
| Available history | +25% | +32.6M shares |
VERX has 162M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $26.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $20M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VERX spent $74M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VERX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
VERX's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
VERX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.0 | Overbought |
VERX's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on valuation relative to its sector.
VERX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VERX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 501x | 28x | 1,697% above |
| PE % | 74 | 37 | 37 pts above |
VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VERX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.4 | 23% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.4 | 32% above |
| 50 week MA | $14.3 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.8 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.6 | 33% below |
VERX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 33% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over VERX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VERX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.6 | $34.1 | +45% |
| 2021 | $34.1 | $17.1 | -50% |
| 2022 | $17.1 | $14.8 | -13% |
| 2023 | $14.8 | $26.9 | +82% |
| 2024 | $26.9 | $52.7 | +96% |
| 2025 | $52.7 | $20.3 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.3 | $17.8 | -13% |
VERX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.