MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

VELO

Velo3D, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VELO yet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VELO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

VELO's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

VELO PE Valuation

VELO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

VELO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

VELO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and VELO's risk to reward.

VELO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and VELO's risk to reward.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus VELO down 140%.

VELO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-357.00Q1 2024: $-315.00Q2 2024: $-252.30Q3 2024: $-242.10Q4 2024: $-142.05
Q4 2023: $-357.00Q1 2024: $-315.00Q2 2024: $-252.30Q3 2024: $-242.10Q4 2024: $-142.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$142.05+$214.95
Q3 2024-$242.10-$131.85
Q2 2024-$252.30+$25.95
Q1 2024-$315.00-373%
Q4 2023-$357.00-1460%

VELO is still losing money, but far less than before: $142.05 per share over the past year, against $357.00 at its worst in late 2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

VELO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.5M+50%
Q2 2026$20.7M+52%
Q1 2026$13.8M+48%
Q4 2025$9.4M-25%
Q3 2025$13.6M+65%
Q2 2025$13.6M+31%
Q1 2025$9.3M-4.8%
Q4 2024$12.6M+648%

VELO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $20M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over VELO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VELO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.6M-$8.2M
Q2 2026-$25.1M-$22.1M
Q1 2026-$18.9M-$6.6M
Q4 2025-$8.3M-$6.1M
Q3 2025-$6.3M-$4.3M
Q2 2025-$3M+$5M
Q1 2025-$12.3M+$8.2M
Q4 2024-$2.2M+$22.3M

VELO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$67M over the past year, against −$24M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over VELO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VELO Total Shares

Q1 2024: 495,798Q2 2024: 565,026Q3 2024: 616,030
Q1 2024: 495,798Q2 2024: 565,026Q3 2024: 616,030
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+51K shares
1 year+67%+247K shares

VELO has 616,030 diluted shares, up 67% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VELO Net Leverage

VELO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

VELO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic3.3Oversold

VELO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

VELO PE vs Technology Sector

VELO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus VELO above 0 of 4.

VELO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.6442% below
20 week MA$10.458% below
50 week MA$13.267% below
100 week MA$10.457% below

VELO is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 100-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over VELO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VELO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$11.7$10.2-13%
2025$10.2$13.5+32%
2026 YTD$13.5$4.41-67%

VELO has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

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