MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over VECO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VECO

Veeco Instruments Inc.

55
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation13/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VECO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VECO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Healthy

VECO's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over VECO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VECO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x218x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x218x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$40.33—
Cheap18x$7.36-82%
Fair29x$11.70-71%
Expensive86x$34.57-14%
Current101x$40.33—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VECO's PE is in its expensive range at 101x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

VECO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

VECO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails VECO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VECO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$70.36
Downside-17%$33.38

Calculated from the latest close: $40.33 on Nov 12.

VECO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over VECO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VECO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $1.50Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.06Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.38Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $2.75
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $1.50Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.06Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.38Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $2.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.75+587%
Q3 2026$0.40-51%
Q2 2026$0.36-64%
Q1 2026$0.38-64%
Q4 2025$0.59-52%
Q3 2025$0.82-43%
Q2 2025$1.01-33%
Q1 2025$1.06+$1.42
Q4 2024$1.23+$1.79

VECO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $2.71 in late 2022.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over VECO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VECO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$209.4M+26%
Q2 2026$193.5M+16%
Q1 2026$158.3M-5.4%
Q4 2025$165M-9.4%
Q3 2025$165.9M-10%
Q2 2025$166.1M-5.6%
Q1 2025$167.3M-4.1%
Q4 2024$182.1M+4.7%

VECO's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $209M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

VECO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.6M+314%
Q2 2026$47.7M+776%
Q1 2026$2.8M-79%
Q4 2025$21.7M-6.7%
Q3 2025$13M-4.9%
Q2 2025$5.4M-1%
Q1 2025$13.2M+293%
Q4 2024$23.2M+24%

VECO has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over VECO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VECO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-628K shares
1 year+8.5%+5.2M shares
3 years+11%+6.5M shares
5 years+23%+12.2M shares
Available history+39%+18.7M shares

VECO has 66M diluted shares, up 8.5% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over VECO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VECO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

VECO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

VECO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.4Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

VECO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over VECO on valuation relative to its sector.

VECO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVECOSector medianRelative
PE101x28x262% above
PE %843549 pts above

VECO is trading at 101x earnings, a 262% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over VECO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VECO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.111% below
20 week MA$48.016% below
50 week MA$44.79.7% below
100 week MA$34.318% above
200 week MA$32.126% above

VECO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

VECO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.8$19.0+28%
2021$19.0$26.9+41%
2022$26.9$18.4-32%
2023$18.4$31.0+69%
2024$31.0$27.6-11%
2025$27.6$29.3+6.1%
2026 YTD$29.3$40.3+38%

VECO has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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