MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over USIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

USIO

Usio, Inc.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

USIO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

USIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy

USIO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

USIO PE Valuation

USIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

USIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

USIO has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than USIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

USIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$3.05
Downside-33%$1.38

Calculated from the latest close: $2.05 on Nov 12.

USIO trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over USIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

USIO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.06
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.06—
Q3 2026-$0.03-$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.06-155%
Q1 2026-$0.08-167%
Q4 2025-$0.09-175%
Q3 2025-$0.01-110%
Q2 2025$0.11+$0.15
Q1 2025$0.12+$0.15
Q4 2024$0.12+$0.14

USIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.03 per share over the past year, against $0.39 at its worst in late 2019.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over USIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

USIO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.8M+12%
Q2 2026$23.7M+19%
Q1 2026$25.5M+16%
Q4 2025$22.2M+8.2%
Q3 2025$21.2M-0.7%
Q2 2025$20M-0.6%
Q1 2025$22M+8.3%
Q4 2024$20.6M+6.2%

USIO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $24M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

USIO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$551,156Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$24,555Q3 2025: $85,165Q4 2025: −$42,828Q1 2026: $548,652Q2 2026: −$828,172Q3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$551,156Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$24,555Q3 2025: $85,165Q4 2025: −$42,828Q1 2026: $548,652Q2 2026: −$828,172Q3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M+1740%
Q2 2026-$828.2K-$803.6K
Q1 2026$548.7K-48%
Q4 2025-$42.8K-100%
Q3 2025$85.2K+$4.9M
Q2 2025-$24.6K+$526.6K
Q1 2025$1.1M+$4M
Q4 2024$10.2M+$37.1M

USIO has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over USIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

USIO Total Shares

Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.4%+654K shares
1 year+5.9%+1.6M shares
3 years+7.8%+2.1M shares
5 years+84%+13M shares

USIO has 28M diluted shares, up 5.9% from a year ago, despite $799,464 in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

USIO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -39.8xQ4 2024: -50.9xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -28.2xQ2 2026: -13.6xQ3 2026: -5.7x
Q4 2023: -39.8xQ4 2024: -50.9xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -28.2xQ2 2026: -13.6xQ3 2026: -5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-13.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-28.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-50.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-39.8xNet Cash
Q3 2023-8.3xNet Cash

USIO has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

USIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic49.3Neutral

USIO's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

USIO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUSIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

USIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over USIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

USIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.7425% below
20 week MA$2.5620% below
50 week MA$1.8610% above
100 week MA$1.7219% above
200 week MA$1.7021% above

USIO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 21% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

USIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.74$2.90+67%
2021$2.90$5.08+75%
2022$5.08$1.55-69%
2023$1.55$1.72+11%
2024$1.72$1.45-16%
2025$1.45$1.33-8.3%
2026 YTD$1.33$2.05+54%

USIO has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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