MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over UPLD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

UPLD

Upland Software, Inc.

39
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

UPLD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UPLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

UPLD's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

UPLD PE Valuation

UPLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

UPLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect UPLD's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UPLD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UPLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+107%$6.28
Downside-52%$1.46

Calculated from the latest close: $3.03 on Nov 12.

UPLD trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

UPLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-57.70Q1 2024: $-47.60Q2 2024: $-47.20Q3 2024: $-45.30Q4 2024: $-42.60Q1 2025: $-18.60Q2 2025: $-19.00Q3 2025: $-18.70Q4 2025: $-15.60Q1 2026: $-6.80Q2 2026: $-14.23Q3 2026: $-14.00Forward: $5.72
Q4 2023: $-57.70Q1 2024: $-47.60Q2 2024: $-47.20Q3 2024: $-45.30Q4 2024: $-42.60Q1 2025: $-18.60Q2 2025: $-19.00Q3 2025: $-18.70Q4 2025: $-15.60Q1 2026: $-6.80Q2 2026: $-14.23Q3 2026: $-14.00Forward: $5.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.72—
Q3 2026-$14.00+$4.70
Q2 2026-$14.23+$4.77
Q1 2026-$6.80+$11.80
Q4 2025-$15.60+$27.00
Q3 2025-$18.70+$26.60
Q2 2025-$19.00+$28.20
Q1 2025-$18.60+$29.00
Q4 2024-$42.60+$15.10

UPLD is still losing money, but far less than before: $14.00 per share over the past year, against $59.60 at its worst in late 2023.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UPLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47.5M-5.9%
Q2 2026$49.1M-7.9%
Q1 2026$48.7M-24%
Q4 2025$49.3M-28%
Q3 2025$50.5M-24%
Q2 2025$53.4M-23%
Q1 2025$63.7M-10%
Q4 2024$68M-5.8%

UPLD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $48M last quarter, down 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

UPLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.7M-60%
Q2 2026$5.3M+99%
Q1 2026$5.5M-30%
Q4 2025$7.2M-20%
Q3 2025$6.7M+59%
Q2 2025$2.7M-49%
Q1 2025$7.9M+60%
Q4 2024$9M+4.9%

UPLD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UPLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+14.3K shares
1 year+2.6%+75.3K shares
3 years-9.3%-304K shares
5 years-2.9%-89K shares
Available history+28%+644K shares

UPLD has 3M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UPLD Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 6.5xQ2 2025: 7.6xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 14.6xQ3 2026: 15.5x
Q1 2025: 6.5xQ2 2025: 7.6xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 14.6xQ3 2026: 15.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.5xHigh
Q2 202614.6xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20256.0xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20257.6xHigh
Q1 20256.5xHigh
Q4 202227.3xHigh

UPLD's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.7 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

UPLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

UPLD's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

UPLD PE vs Technology Sector

UPLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UPLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.6216% below
20 week MA$4.1727% below
50 week MA$7.4559% below
100 week MA$17.282% below
200 week MA$26.889% below

UPLD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 89% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over UPLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$362.7$466.3+29%
2021$466.3$187.6-60%
2022$187.6$69.8-63%
2023$69.8$42.3-39%
2024$42.3$45.6+7.8%
2025$45.6$15.3-66%
2026 YTD$15.3$3.03-80%

UPLD has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 80% so far in 2026.

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