MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over UCTT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

UCTT

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

UCTT's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UCTT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Stable

UCTT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over UCTT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UCTT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.4x$48.10—
Cheap18x$9.98-79%
Fair26x$15.06-69%
Expensive47x$26.89-44%
Current84x$48.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UCTT's PE is in its expensive range at 84x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

UCTT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

UCTT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UCTT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UCTT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$74.58
Downside-30%$33.65

Calculated from the latest close: $48.10 on Nov 12.

UCTT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCTT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.70+899%
Q3 2026$0.57+$4.14
Q2 2026-$0.52+$2.86
Q1 2026-$4.29-792%
Q4 2025-$4.00-869%
Q3 2025-$3.57-5200%
Q2 2025-$3.38-$3.18
Q1 2025$0.62+$1.45
Q4 2024$0.52+$1.22

UCTT has returned to profit: it earned $0.57 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCTT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$759M+49%
Q2 2026$644.9M+24%
Q1 2026$533.7M+2.9%
Q4 2025$506.7M-10%
Q3 2025$510M-5.6%
Q2 2025$518.8M+0.5%
Q1 2025$518.6M+8.6%
Q4 2024$563.3M+27%

UCTT's revenue is growing: $759M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UCTT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$61.8M-$50.9M
Q2 2026-$57.3M-562%
Q1 2026-$42.9M-372%
Q4 2025-$2M-$1.8M
Q3 2025-$10.9M-$10.6M
Q2 2025$12.4M+22%
Q1 2025$15.8M+$24M
Q4 2024-$200K-101%

UCTT has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$164M over the past year, against $17M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UCTT Total Shares

Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+100K shares
1 year+1.8%+800K shares
3 years+4.3%+1.9M shares

UCTT has 46M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UCTT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20221.0xHealthy

UCTT's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

UCTT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

UCTT's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on valuation relative to its sector.

UCTT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUCTTSector medianRelative
PE84x28x203% above
PE %903555 pts above

UCTT is trading at 84x earnings, a 203% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over UCTT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UCTT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.815% below
20 week MA$73.535% below
50 week MA$67.328% below
100 week MA$46.82.9% above
200 week MA$41.616% above

UCTT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 16% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

UCTT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.4$31.7+35%
2021$31.7$56.2+78%
2022$56.2$33.3-41%
2023$33.3$34.1+2.5%
2024$34.1$36.5+7%
2025$36.5$26.0-29%
2026 YTD$26.0$48.1+85%

UCTT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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