MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

UBER has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.71 over the past year, against $7.78 in late 2025.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over UBER on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over UBER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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