MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over U overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
U
Unity Software Inc.
U offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
U Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
U's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
U PE Valuation
U has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
U Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
U has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over U on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
U Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.65 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.81 | +$0.24 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.36 | -$0.30 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.57 | -$0.45 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.96 | +$0.72 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.05 | +$0.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.99 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.12 | +$1.12 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.68 | +$0.48 |
U is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.81 per share over the past year, against $3.03 at its worst in early 2023.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over U on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over U on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
U Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $622.1M | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $546.5M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $508.2M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $503.1M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $470.6M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $440.9M | -1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $435M | -5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $457.1M | -25% |
U's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $622M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +21 points |
| Q1 2026 | -69% | -40 points |
| Q4 2025 | -21% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -27% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | +52 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | +15 points |
U's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 43 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
U Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $219.7M | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $202M | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $66.5M | +809% |
| Q4 2025 | $118.7M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $151.3M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $126.7M | +59% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.3M | +$21.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $105.8M | +74% |
U has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over U on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
U Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +14% | +60.3M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +73.9M shares |
| 3 years | +30% | +114M shares |
| 5 years | +76% | +214M shares |
| Available history | +118% | +270M shares |
U has 498M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
U Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -66.1x | Net Cash |
U has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
U Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.1 | Neutral |
U's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
U PE vs Technology Sector
U has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
U Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.1 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $40.4 | 24% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.0 | 48% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.5 | 59% above |
| 200 week MA | $29.9 | 68% above |
U has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
U Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $68.4 | $164.9 | +141% |
| 2021 | $164.9 | $145.6 | -12% |
| 2022 | $145.6 | $27.6 | -81% |
| 2023 | $27.6 | $40.9 | +48% |
| 2024 | $40.9 | $22.8 | -44% |
| 2025 | $22.8 | $45.2 | +98% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.2 | $50.2 | +11% |
U has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.