MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TYL
Tyler Technologies, Inc.
TYL has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TYL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TYL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over TYL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TYL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 28x | $424 | — |
| Current | 53x | $424 | — |
| Cheap | 71x | $565 | +33% |
| Fair | 92x | $734 | +73% |
| Expensive | 113x | $895 | +111% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TYL's PE is in its cheap range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
TYL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
TYL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
TYL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.99 | +89% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.94 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.54 | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.24 | +9.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.20 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.18 | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.99 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.63 | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.05 | +56% |
TYL has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TYL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TYL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TYL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $647.6M | +8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $645.1M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $613.5M | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $575.2M | +6.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $595.9M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $596.1M | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $565.2M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $541.1M | +13% |
TYL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $648M last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 16% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +3.3 points |
TYL's operating margin was 18% last quarter, up 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
TYL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $278M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $119.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $104M | +93% |
| Q4 2025 | $239.6M | +8.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $251.3M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $92.8M | +61% |
| Q1 2025 | $53.8M | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $221M | +59% |
TYL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TYL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | -4.9% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -3.7% | -1.6M shares |
| Available history | 0% | -5K shares |
TYL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $369.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $504.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $250.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $173M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $2,000 |
TYL spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TYL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
TYL has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TYL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 91.4 | Overbought |
TYL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over TYL on valuation relative to its sector.
TYL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TYL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 53x | 28x | 91% above |
| PE % | 11 | 35 | 24 pts below |
TYL is trading at 53x earnings, a 91% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over TYL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TYL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $370.9 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $346.5 | 22% above |
| 50 week MA | $355.1 | 19% above |
| 100 week MA | $456.4 | 7.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $451.1 | 6.1% below |
TYL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 6.1% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over TYL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TYL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $300.6 | $434.3 | +44% |
| 2021 | $434.3 | $523.1 | +20% |
| 2022 | $523.1 | $320.1 | -39% |
| 2023 | $320.1 | $418.1 | +31% |
| 2024 | $418.1 | $587.1 | +40% |
| 2025 | $587.1 | $461.1 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $461.1 | $423.6 | -8.1% |
TYL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8.1% so far in 2026.