MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over TRMB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TRMB

Trimble Inc.

60
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TRMB trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TRMB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Healthy

TRMB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

TRMB PE Valuation

TRMB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

TRMB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRMB to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRMB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TRMB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$71.04
Downside-21%$44.36

Calculated from the latest close: $55.83 on Nov 12.

TRMB trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over TRMB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TRMB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $0.96Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $5.98Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $6.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.46Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.91Q3 2026: $-0.48Q4 2026: $-0.69
Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $0.96Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $5.98Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $6.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.46Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.91Q3 2026: $-0.48Q4 2026: $-0.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.69-147%
Q2 2026-$0.48-141%
Q1 2026$1.91-69%
Q4 2025$1.76-71%
Q3 2025$1.46-76%
Q2 2025$1.16-81%
Q1 2025$6.13+539%
Q4 2024$6.09+387%

TRMB has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over TRMB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRMB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $932MQ1 2024: $953MQ2 2024: $871MQ3 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $983MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: $876MQ4 2025: $901MQ1 2026: $970MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $972MQ4 2026: $967M
Q4 2023: $932MQ1 2024: $953MQ2 2024: $871MQ3 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $983MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: $876MQ4 2025: $901MQ1 2026: $970MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $972MQ4 2026: $967M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$966.8M+7.3%
Q2 2026$972M+11%
Q1 2026$939.9M+12%
Q4 2025$969.8M-1.4%
Q3 2025$901.2M+2.9%
Q2 2025$875.7M+0.6%
Q1 2025$840.6M-12%
Q4 2024$983.4M+5.5%

TRMB's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $967M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

TRMB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $233MQ4 2026: $142M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $233MQ4 2026: $142M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$141.8M+22%
Q2 2026$233.2M+$292.6M
Q1 2026$268.6M+80%
Q4 2025$154.7M+42%
Q3 2025$116.6M+32%
Q2 2025-$59.4M-181%
Q1 2025$149M-34%
Q4 2024$109M+22%

TRMB has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TRMB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 249MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 246MQ3 2024: 247MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 246MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 240MQ1 2026: 242MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 233MQ4 2026: 233M
Q4 2023: 249MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 246MQ3 2024: 247MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 246MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 240MQ1 2026: 242MQ2 2026: 237MQ3 2026: 233MQ4 2026: 233M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-3%-7.2M shares
3 years-6.6%-16.5M shares
5 years-8.4%-21.3M shares
Available history-7.8%-19.7M shares

TRMB has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over TRMB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TRMB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.5xQ4 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.5xQ4 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20240.9xVery low

TRMB's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

TRMB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic41.9Neutral

TRMB's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TRMB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTRMBSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

TRMB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over TRMB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TRMB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.25.6% below
20 week MA$57.73.3% below
50 week MA$63.011% below
100 week MA$68.719% below
200 week MA$61.99.7% below

TRMB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over TRMB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TRMB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.0$66.7+59%
2021$66.7$86.1+29%
2022$86.1$48.5-44%
2023$48.5$53.2+9.6%
2024$53.2$71.2+34%
2025$71.2$80.2+13%
2026 YTD$80.2$55.8-30%

TRMB is down 30% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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