MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over TRAK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
TRAK
ReposiTrak, Inc.
TRAK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TRAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TRAK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
TRAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $7.35 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $10.82 | +47% |
| Fair | 40x | $15.48 | +111% |
| Expensive | 68x | $26.63 | +262% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRAK has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
TRAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRAK to show an outlook.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TRAK on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
TRAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.39 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.37 | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.37 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.36 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.35 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.30 | +7.1% |
TRAK's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.39 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TRAK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TRAK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TRAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5.6M | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.9M | -0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9M | +6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5M | +7.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.4M | +7.5% |
TRAK's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $6M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | +3.5 points |
TRAK's operating margin was 34% last quarter, up 6.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
TRAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4M | -42% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2024 | $2M | +11% |
| Q1 2024 | $2.5M | -37% |
TRAK has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TRAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +143K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -160K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +215K shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -773K shares |
| Available history | -5.7% | -1.1M shares |
TRAK has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $549,944 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $149,985 |
| Q2 2025 | $100,019 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $100,016 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TRAK spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TRAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
TRAK has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TRAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.8 | Oversold |
TRAK's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TRAK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TRAK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 28x | 32% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
TRAK has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over TRAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TRAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.48 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.08 | 9% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.19 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.1 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.4 | 45% below |
TRAK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over TRAK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TRAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.86 | $5.02 | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $5.02 | $5.76 | +15% |
| 2022 | $5.76 | $5.24 | -9% |
| 2023 | $5.24 | $10.0 | +91% |
| 2024 | $10.0 | $22.0 | +120% |
| 2025 | $22.0 | $13.1 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.1 | $7.35 | -44% |
TRAK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +120% in 2024 to −40% in 2025. It's down 44% so far in 2026.