MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TER
Teradyne, Inc.
TER has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over TER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TER PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 22x | $189 | -28% |
| Forward | 24x | $264 | — |
| Fair | 29x | $248 | -5.9% |
| Current | 30x | $264 | — |
| Expensive | 48x | $419 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TER's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
TER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
TER has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
TER Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.80 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.70 | +218% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.28 | +153% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.39 | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.47 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.74 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.88 | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.53 | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.32 | +22% |
TER's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $8.70 over the past year, up from $2.74 the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TER on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +70% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +87% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +44% |
| Q3 2025 | $769.2M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $651.8M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $685.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $752.9M | +12% |
TER's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +19 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +6.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +1.9 points |
TER's operating margin was 31% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
TER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $227.3M | +9539% |
| Q2 2026 | $378.4M | +187% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.4M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $218.8M | -2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4M | -98% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.7M | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $97.6M | +$134.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $225.2M | +10% |
TER has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -191K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -7.2M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -29.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -22M shares |
TER has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $99.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $68.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $183.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $243.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $117.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $157.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $143.5M |
TER spent $357M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 46% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
TER has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
TER's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over TER on valuation relative to its sector.
TER PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TER | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 28x | 8.8% above |
| PE % | 59 | 35 | 24 pts above |
TER is trading at 30x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over TER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $330.0 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $352.3 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $325.0 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $218.5 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $164.8 | 60% above |
TER has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 60% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
TER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $69.1 | $118.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $118.9 | $162.7 | +37% |
| 2022 | $162.7 | $86.6 | -47% |
| 2023 | $86.6 | $108.5 | +25% |
| 2024 | $108.5 | $128.5 | +18% |
| 2025 | $128.5 | $198.9 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $198.9 | $263.8 | +33% |
TER has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.