MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over TEL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TEL
TE Connectivity Ltd.
TEL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
TEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over TEL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $163 | -25% |
| Forward | 16x | $218 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $224 | +2.7% |
| Current | 20x | $218 | — |
| Expensive | 38x | $418 | +92% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TEL's PE is in its fair range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
TEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
TEL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TEL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.67 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.06 | +80% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.21 | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.80 | +113% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.94 | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.16 | -40% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.89 | -56% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.61 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.32 | -40% |
TEL earned $11.06 per share over the past year, up 80% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TEL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TEL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.2B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.7B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +0.1% |
TEL's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $5.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.2 points |
TEL's operating margin was 21% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
TEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $881M | -7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $677M | +60% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | -9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $957M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $423M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $673M | +18% |
TEL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -7.3% | -23M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -39M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -43M shares |
TEL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $544M |
| Q2 2026 | $529M |
| Q1 2026 | $414M |
| Q4 2025 | $405M |
| Q3 2025 | $437M |
| Q2 2025 | $301M |
| Q1 2025 | $306M |
| Q4 2024 | $303M |
TEL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over TEL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
TEL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.4 | Neutral |
TEL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TEL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 29% below |
| PE % | 46 | 35 | 11 pts above |
TEL has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
TEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $214.5 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $209.5 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $215.3 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $196.2 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $167.1 | 30% above |
TEL has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over TEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $95.5 | $119.8 | +25% |
| 2021 | $119.8 | $158.5 | +32% |
| 2022 | $158.5 | $114.0 | -28% |
| 2023 | $114.0 | $140.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $140.5 | $145.0 | +3.2% |
| 2025 | $145.0 | $232.5 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $217.8 | -6.3% |
TEL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 6.3% so far in 2026.