MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over TEAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
TEAD
Teads Holding Co.
TEAD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TEAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
TEAD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
TEAD PE Valuation
TEAD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
TEAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TEAD's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
TEAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$8.78 | -$7.74 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.04 | +$0.09 |
| Q1 2024 | $0.21 | +$0.73 |
| Q4 2023 | $0.20 | +$0.64 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.04 | -108% |
| Q2 2023 | -$0.13 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.52 | -$0.45 |
TEAD lost $8.78 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TEAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $235.1M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | $284.6M | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $266M | -7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $352.2M | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $318.8M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $343.1M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $286.4M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.6M | -5.5% |
TEAD's revenue has held roughly level: $235M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -131% | -129 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.5% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.2% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -98% | -99 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -16% | -13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -1.2 points |
TEAD's operating margin was −131% last quarter, down 129 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2021.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
TEAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$28.4M | -$3.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $8M | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | -$35.6M | -$31.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.5M | -84% |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.5M | -320% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | -153% |
| Q4 2024 | $40M | +72% |
| Q1 2024 | $7.3M | +$31.5M |
TEAD's free cash flow was −$49M over the past year, against $35M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TEAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +960K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +91% | +46.8M shares |
TEAD has 98M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $75,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $38,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $7,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $86,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $198,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $355,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $210,000 |
TEAD spent $126,000 buying back its own shares over the past year, down 85% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TEAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 34.0x | High |
| Q3 2022 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2022 | -11.1x | Net Cash |
TEAD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TEAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
TEAD's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TEAD PE vs Technology Sector
TEAD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus TEAD above 0 of 3.
TEAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.37 | 54% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.54 | 69% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.72 | 76% below |
TEAD is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 50-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over TEAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TEAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.85 | $0.91 | -68% |
| 2026 YTD | $0.91 | $0.17 | -81% |
TEAD has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 81% so far in 2026.